TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7ed6…98ba

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick23cpaid+15.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kings - Who wins the toss?backed Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Pakistan Super League: Rawalpindi Pindiz vs Islamabad Unitedbacked Islamabad United · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.31
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+881.3%+$131.71
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.42
Pakistan Super League: Multan Sultans vs Rawalpindi Pindizbacked Rawalpindi Pindiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.06
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.12
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.06
International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 3)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+185.7%+$32.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-31.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+329.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$23.38
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+426.3%+$63.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Lecce vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+42.9%+$14.29
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+63.9%+$16
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14.76
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$21
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$28.95
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$53.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$23.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.