CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: OlyBet SB vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0beda7e8cc501d04d3706dc9f89bab86140b3f19d4da02b8b4e467b62cab4189
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Donstu Esportsof OlyBet SB, Donstu Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed OlyBet SB | 13c | 1,489$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.07 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked OlyBet SB | 12c | 1,031$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.13 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed OlyBet SB | 14c | 882$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.3 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed OlyBet SB | 29c | 580.22$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.17 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a90…7e68backed Donstu Esports | 70c | 536$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.95 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed Donstu Esports | 68c | 499.25$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.95 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed OlyBet SB | 32c | 317.48$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.59 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…c7afbacked OlyBet SB | 36c | 301.72$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.13 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…59ffbacked Donstu Esports | 74c | 299.92$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…7db2backed Donstu Esports | 73c | 269.44$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.44 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed OlyBet SB | 31c | 263.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.37 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Donstu Esports | 67c | 247$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.72 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed OlyBet SB | 28c | 234.2$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…f26ebacked OlyBet SB | 42c | 204.51$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 162 | 36.4%59 W · 103 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Donstu Esports | 65c | 199.97$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked OlyBet SB | 27c | 155.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Donstu Esports | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 186 | 45.2%84 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed OlyBet SB | 33c | 149.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 470 | 54%254 W · 216 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…7843backed OlyBet SB | 11c | 130.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa77c…e948backed OlyBet SB | 18c | 125.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -6.5wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed OlyBet SB | 13c | 120$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 321 | 39.9%128 W · 193 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked OlyBet SB | 34c | 114.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…755fbacked Donstu Esports | 73c | 110.96$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed Donstu Esports | 77c | 107.11$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4228…b838backed OlyBet SB | 18c | 102.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed1…908cbacked OlyBet SB | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 206 | 37.9%78 W · 128 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked OlyBet SB | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked OlyBet SB | 36c | 95.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…98babacked OlyBet SB | 16c | 94.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed Donstu Esports | 65c | 92.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 167 | 54.5%91 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Donstu Esports | 67c | 91.13$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked OlyBet SB | 33c | 85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked OlyBet SB | 35c | 76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked OlyBet SB | 15c | 71.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 85 | 64.7%55 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Donstu Esports | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked OlyBet SB | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 264 | 48.1%127 W · 137 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…de16backed Donstu Esports | 65c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…a700backed Donstu Esports | 64c | 46.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked OlyBet SB | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdcb…5ffabacked OlyBet SB | 53c | 38.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed OlyBet SB | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d6…041dbacked Donstu Esports | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -13.0wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…6415backed Donstu Esports | 69c | 24.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Donstu Esports | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Donstu Esports | 57c | 23.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd85…1d60backed OlyBet SB | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Donstu Esports | 70c | 23.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2526…218ebacked Donstu Esports | 75c | 22.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b86…5552backed Donstu Esports | 70c | 17.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 163 | 63.2%103 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: OlyBet SB vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: OlyBet SB vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 WinnerDonstu Esports won
- Counter-Strike: OlyBet SB vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 WinnerDonstu Esports won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Donstu Esports (-3.5) vs OlyBet SB (+3.5)Donstu Esports won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.