CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: OlyBet SB vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ddb63734e8d04b0bb4383ab1a2baa0612268efb04008c0e2f90626223255797
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Donstu Esportsof OlyBet SB, Donstu Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Donstu Esports | 50c | 558.13$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.8 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Donstu Esports | 58c | 521.17$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.66 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed OlyBet SB | 59c | 509.5$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.99 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked OlyBet SB | 66c | 499.78$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.61 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed OlyBet SB | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Donstu Esports | 64c | 323.95$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.13 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfed…9d03backed Donstu Esports | 44c | 225.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.69 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Donstu Esports | 59c | 200$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.3 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Donstu Esports | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…528ebacked OlyBet SB | 57c | 182.46$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked OlyBet SB | 27c | 164.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Donstu Esports | 60c | 157.06$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.46 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63ff…5f94backed OlyBet SB | 53c | 155$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Donstu Esports | 48c | 148.59$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.79 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…96bcbacked Donstu Esports | 57c | 130.74$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Donstu Esports | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Donstu Esports | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Donstu Esports | 58c | 97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…e6b9backed OlyBet SB | 54c | 77.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed OlyBet SB | 41c | 75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked OlyBet SB | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa781…8745backed OlyBet SB | 20c | 61.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Donstu Esports | 68c | 58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Donstu Esports | 70c | 48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed OlyBet SB | 32c | 46.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c6…9dc1backed Donstu Esports | 66c | 45.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…faadbacked Donstu Esports | 55c | 36.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Donstu Esports | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed OlyBet SB | 68c | 29.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 162 | 56.8%92 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked OlyBet SB | 40c | 26.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Donstu Esports | 73c | 17.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: OlyBet SB vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: OlyBet SB vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsDonstu Esports won
- Counter-Strike: OlyBet SB vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 WinnerDonstu Esports won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Donstu Esports (-3.5) vs OlyBet SB (+3.5)Donstu Esports won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.