CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: OlyBet SB vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeab4ce66e5ed959c800c1fffb348c130d071107c5a2eda3bb303adb02309f438
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Donstu Esportsof OlyBet SB, Donstu Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0890…0646backed Donstu Esports | 78c | 15,568$12,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,464.54 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked OlyBet SB | 21c | 3,405$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5480…b38cbacked OlyBet SB | 19c | 2,994$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.74 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed OlyBet SB | 26c | 2,565$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.02 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed OlyBet SB | 22c | 2,254$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed OlyBet SB | 24c | 1,674$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.83 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked OlyBet SB | 23c | 1,543$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed OlyBet SB | 9c | 1,473$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.06 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked OlyBet SB | 15c | 1,292$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.48 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed OlyBet SB | 15c | 1,263$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.85 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed OlyBet SB | 19c | 1,187$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.5 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked OlyBet SB | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed OlyBet SB | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked OlyBet SB | 10c | 968.09$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.17 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked OlyBet SB | 20c | 892.34$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed OlyBet SB | 19c | 810$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.9 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed OlyBet SB | 18c | 508.24$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.16 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed OlyBet SB | 20c | 488.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…7458backed OlyBet SB | 3c | 446.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfed…9d03backed OlyBet SB | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc315…a989backed OlyBet SB | 13c | 296.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 143 | 22.4%32 W · 111 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed OlyBet SB | 22c | 268.63$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…23cebacked OlyBet SB | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed OlyBet SB | 27c | 215$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa851…4dedbacked OlyBet SB | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked OlyBet SB | 20c | 199$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked OlyBet SB | 18c | 164.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed OlyBet SB | 20c | 135$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0133…64bcbacked Donstu Esports | 78c | 131.87$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee22…7054backed OlyBet SB | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked OlyBet SB | 19c | 110.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 230 | 38.3%88 W · 142 L | -15.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…96bcbacked OlyBet SB | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked OlyBet SB | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed OlyBet SB | 24c | 95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Donstu Esports | 76c | 94.09$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Donstu Esports | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d9…4d80backed OlyBet SB | 25c | 50.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…a700backed OlyBet SB | 22c | 46.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Donstu Esports | 64c | 41.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Donstu Esports | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Donstu Esports | 59c | 19.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 287 | 61.3%176 W · 111 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Donstu Esports | 80c | 19.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Donstu Esports | 69c | 15.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Donstu Esports | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: OlyBet SB vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: OlyBet SB vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsDonstu Esports won
- Counter-Strike: OlyBet SB vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 WinnerDonstu Esports won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Donstu Esports (-3.5) vs OlyBet SB (+3.5)Donstu Esports won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.