CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Esport BERG (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #5 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd42451607ee667713e776b25d98a09619fff3bce324848bad526a66b57bffaba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leo Teamof Leo Team, Esport BERG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Esport BERG | 20c | 1,696$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.14 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Leo Team | 71c | 1,430$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.74 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Esport BERG | 20c | 1,107$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.03 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Esport BERG | 23c | 611.52$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.23 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Esport BERG | 22c | 592.6$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.83 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed Leo Team | 77c | 449.99$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.7 | 380 | 52.6%200 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Esport BERG | 5c | 441.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Esport BERG | 25c | 423.31$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.52 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1810…ac44backed Esport BERG | 32c | 313.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Esport BERG | 26c | 278.78$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.09 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b71dbacked Esport BERG | 26c | 272.43$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Esport BERG | 22c | 271.94$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Esport BERG | 7c | 244.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Esport BERG | 16c | 219.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Esport BERG | 23c | 185.6$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Esport BERG | 19c | 179$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Esport BERG | 17c | 151$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Leo Team | 77c | 130.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Esport BERG | 15c | 95.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Esport BERG | 23c | 82.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Esport BERG | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Esport BERG | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Esport BERG | 18c | 56.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Esport BERG | 24c | 53.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 186 | 45.2%84 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d94…cc42backed Esport BERG | 20c | 53.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…98babacked Esport BERG | 20c | 51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…de16backed Leo Team | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…084cbacked Leo Team | 70c | 23.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…68c9backed Leo Team | 75c | 22.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Leo Team | 74c | 20.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…0ecdbacked Leo Team | 77c | 17.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 329 | 56.8%187 W · 142 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Leo Team | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Esport BERG (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #5 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Esport BERG - Map 1 WinnerLeo Team won
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Esport BERG - Map 2 WinnerLeo Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.