Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-12-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85f754883f8c9f7169b6222268a8fdd67f85e8ebbf5a0a63bef037e67d065135
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 41c | 30,000$12,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,700 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 59c | 20,001$11,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,800.59 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 41c | 15,000$6,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,850 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 57c | 13,465$7,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,628.8 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 12,004$6,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,276.34 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 29c | 8,567$2,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,492.2 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 41c | 6,588$2,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,706.29 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 42c | 6,030$2,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,497.17 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 59c | 3,900$2,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301.09 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 44c | 2,284$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.86 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 2,123$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.38 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 58c | 1,800$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.95 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 4c | 1,756$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.97 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 41c | 1,673$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.49 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3273…5a11backed Yes | 42c | 1,667$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed No | 52c | 1,424$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.3 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 44c | 1,295$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…1f46backed Yes | 42c | 1,270$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.81 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 41c | 1,242$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.21 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 53c | 1,053$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.59 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 17c | 1,044$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.28 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 60c | 994.96$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 44c | 955.01$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.01 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 41c | 919.51$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.51 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ed…d13dbacked Yes | 41c | 743.9$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.9 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Yes | 42c | 642.64$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.73 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 42c | 633.71$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.55 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 42c | 623.81$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.81 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 59c | 557.98$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.21 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 42c | 528.57$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.57 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 66c | 520.94$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.89 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 59c | 509$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.31 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…1478backed Yes | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked No | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed No | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 46c | 404.53$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.39 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…5480backed No | 59c | 399.99$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.99 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 35c | 399.62$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.35 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 57c | 399.55$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.74 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…63e6backed Yes | 42c | 390.48$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 5c | 370$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…5c06backed Yes | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.85 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 42c | 360.05$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.05 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe4…5c4fbacked No | 57c | 316.02$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked No | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…9717backed Yes | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 41c | 263.41$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.41 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…9790backed Yes | 41c | 245$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.55 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x340d…1335backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…f9c8backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…3527backed Yes | 42c | 238.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…7d8abacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 43c | 230$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.1 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked No | 60c | 221.67$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…b378backed Yes | 61c | 215.13$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 69c | 203.75$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07ec…ba9fbacked Yes | 41c | 202.44$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.44 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 41c | 201.29$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.7 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…3e6cbacked No | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +176.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 43cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8e…27ffbacked Yes | 45c | 193.36$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Yes | 73c | 188.1$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.43 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac3…d015backed Yes | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…ca8dbacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…f91dbacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a9…ad8bbacked No | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…ff1fbacked Yes | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 42c | 117.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.36 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…4f06backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 70c | 97.19$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 41c | 93.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.45 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ef…c56bbacked Yes | 42c | 85.71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked No | 43c | 83.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 57c | 83.33$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…fe79backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +300.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 40c | 80.22$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc587…1630backed No | 60c | 70.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…2303backed Yes | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 58c | 67.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 56c | 66.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 29c | 59.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…79e1backed Yes | 42c | 59.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaed…f6a0backed Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.33per pick | 56cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…68dfbacked Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed No | 31c | 51.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…a852backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Yes | 45c | 48.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1e…93ecbacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +56%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-12-14?this page
- Will SV Werder Bremen vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?No won
- Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2025-12-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.