Asian League · resolved market
Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x121a22a8b21cdf8e6b0d415bd723608c201c204ff7bec6ee9f387e7b7d15d289
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 7,444$3,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,645.83 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 35c | 3,597$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,338.4 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 66c | 757.61$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.61 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 54c | 495$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.95 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 63c | 348.44$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.54 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed No | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 65c | 231.03$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.03 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ec…9049backed Yes | 65c | 159.09$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Yes | 62c | 112.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…272dbacked Yes | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…5aeebacked Yes | 68c | 93.08$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e63…2d79backed Yes | 60c | 86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 63c | 67.76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 65c | 61.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c7…4078backed No | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 62c | 48.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed No | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…ffa1backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +260%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 68c | 36.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 64c | 32.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Yes | 75c | 30.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.