Asian League · resolved market
Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7861cdaddeb88906bd775e97e4ca58f810c655efc02e510c69635f5ef122cbb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Over | 19c | 2,999$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 20c | 614.29$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.86 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Under | 80c | 206$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 19c | 197.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Over | 22c | 184.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Under | 80c | 169$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 80c | 116$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 80c | 116$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 78c | 111.68$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Under | 80c | 104$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Under | 80c | 101$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Under | 80c | 99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 71cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Over | 20c | 95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 80c | 92$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Under | 80c | 79$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Under | 80c | 78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Over | 20c | 71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Under | 80c | 62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…4293backed Over | 20c | 59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under | 80c | 58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Under | 80c | 53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 80c | 51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…a045backed Under | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 80c | 44.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under | 80c | 37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Under | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Under | 80c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Under | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Under | 80c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 80c | 18.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5this page
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.