Asian League · resolved market
Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe806bdc40305d5f2aa628911ec352cabe701f9804a92fc11d1a4a98c4aca4d5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 1,115$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.9 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 20c | 807.45$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.65 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 20c | 597.06$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.88 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 77c | 527.47$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.47 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Under | 19c | 509.88$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 80c | 502.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.92 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed Over | 79c | 320$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 28c | 305.66$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.78 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 19c | 214.81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Over | 80c | 156$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Over | 68c | 154.74$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 18c | 149.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…790fbacked Under | 12c | 134.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Over | 80c | 116$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad9…6044backed Under | 18c | 105$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Over | 80c | 97$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Over | 80c | 74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Under | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61c6…2e9fbacked Under | 31c | 45.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Under | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Over | 78c | 19.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 78c | 19.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.