TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,274
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,581

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,274 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c10,522$5,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,983.795,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over42c6,550$2,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,720.683336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9bc8…a613backed Over56c1,779$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.421947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked Over1c1,591$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.773138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-22.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Over46c1,364$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.271040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under51c1,222$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.632,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.362556%14 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under41c610.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.0223927.2%65 W · 174 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under43c583.05$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.051376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+37.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2658445.2%38 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under54c496.5$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.391,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over54c364.04$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1972050%10 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Over58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under40c306.75$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.051656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under60c304.8$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.891,30956.8%743 W · 566 L+66.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12016350.9%83 W · 80 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over60c263.33$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1587447.3%35 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc716…f0d7backed Over59c251$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.091450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over57c242.19$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13811441.2%47 W · 67 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43de…d169backed Over55c205.36$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.773063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x678e…63febacked Over65c202.42$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1323342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over55c180.91$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c0…07d8backed Over59c180$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.21346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under52c154.31$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5162652.6%329 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Over59c144$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.96728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-50.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Over28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-64.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over59c135.32$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808254.9%45 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64a3…cc70backed Over59c135$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.651070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a3…790fbacked Over65c134.34$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.32922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-43.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0aae…e845backed Under41c116$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.44966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x901f…b8b0backed Over59c113.1$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67850%4 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Under36c105.36$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.431540%6 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf572…065abacked Over59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca0…7ebebacked Over59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+33.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Over59c91$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.691566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under38c90$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4613140.5%53 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88d0…524cbacked Under41c88$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.92450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over44c87.34$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.415345.3%24 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Over59c86$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.742751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over64c78.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011661.2%71 W · 45 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f53…1ddcbacked Under41c72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.481154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over51c68.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357829.5%23 W · 55 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c67…21eebacked Over60c64.25$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.862055%11 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa49…949ebacked Over59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f89…f3eabacked Over59c59.32$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3550%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb100…dce6backed Over59c58$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Over70c58$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.63941%16 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07eb…4b4cbacked Under41c54$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.861283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+48.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84c6…f8afbacked Under41c52$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.68580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+56.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Over50c47.48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.68339.8%33 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Under41c44$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.96771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259250%46 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over60c41.95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.175166.7%34 W · 17 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x711d…fe4bbacked Under41c41$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.19887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.19per pick68cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under62c40.62$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4769352.2%362 W · 331 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f1f…8045backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x454a…4039backed Over59c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+42.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Under49c37.44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.922729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5a1…e6f5backed Over59c37$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.83850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94d…2b20backed Under41c36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.24683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+50.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f1a…ad50backed Under41c34$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick60cpaid+86.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2854backed Over59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb75…bc16backed Under41c33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.47475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+54.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb82d…5d1ebacked Over59c32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.881735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-37.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c1d…58fcbacked Under65c31.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.011050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3b3…27babacked Under41c31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.294100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+104.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x216b…8528backed Over59c30.27$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.915558.2%32 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73a3…dac6backed Under41c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e0…b300backed Over47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.11030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-42.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Under41c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0828…d57ebacked Over46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over68c29.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012659.5%75 W · 51 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4292…938dbacked Under41c29.34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.31757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae28…5d17backed Over59c28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.52450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06f4…758dbacked Over59c28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4844…9c83backed Over59c27$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.93250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bec…6997backed Over59c26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.341040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd26c…fc57backed Under41c26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.34475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf340…6224backed Under41c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.75450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc727…adc2backed Under41c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.75771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc856…0aa5backed Under41c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab2e…8b4bbacked Under41c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.75666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over60c24.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.653554.3%19 W · 16 L-5.7wins-0.16per pick70cpaid-23.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Over59c22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.981637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd854…924fbacked Over59c21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.39250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick67cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over59c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.85145.1%23 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7563…1fb3backed Over59c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1974…bc18backed Under64c18.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.51952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf837…8b61backed Under65c17.94$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.36742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8afe…f3c5backed Over70c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.