Asian League · resolved market
Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd0d8ddd35f92f334ccfc05627a54e9063b178fbd8fbd3b50fde60af42dc70a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 10c | 4,015$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.19 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d0…04d6backed Under | 68c | 734.11$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 47c | 443.37$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.44 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 37c | 442.11$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Under | 65c | 436$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.12 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0c…f470backed Over | 34c | 435.99$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 65c | 375.05$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 65c | 259.51$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.76 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…1943backed Under | 55c | 207.18$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under | 65c | 144$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Under | 63c | 126$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 35c | 123.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.31 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Over | 48c | 119.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Under | 63c | 112$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 63c | 104$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…5e78backed Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 62c | 98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Under | 63c | 81$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Under | 63c | 81$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Under | 63c | 77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Under | 63c | 74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Under | 63c | 67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Under | 63c | 64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Under | 63c | 62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…21a1backed Under | 66c | 61.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 30c | 56.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…04d0backed Under | 53c | 56.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Under | 63c | 52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 67c | 50.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddb…8afcbacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…4313backed Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed Over | 37c | 49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…06aabacked Over | 37c | 48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 32c | 47.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 63c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 39cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked Over | 37c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Under | 64c | 42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42bf…30f7backed Over | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Under | 63c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed Over | 37c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…6d13backed Over | 37c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Under | 63c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Over | 37c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…87a4backed Over | 37c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…dc55backed Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.44per pick | 56cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…e5bfbacked Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Over | 37c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Under | 63c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 51c | 22.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Under | 64c | 21.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x072c…1c83backed Under | 69c | 21.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2722…697abacked Under | 57c | 20.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Under | 62c | 17.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Under | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.