TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Colorado Buffaloes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Texas Tech Red Raidersof Texas Tech Red Raiders, Colorado Buffaloes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,125
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,695

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,125 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd696…8a49backed Colorado Buffaloes30c11,322$3,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,396.6484147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Texas Tech Red Raiders70c10,001$7,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,000.360548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders70c7,459$5,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,237.71,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders69c3,801$2,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.8212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Colorado Buffaloes31c3,447$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.461,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Colorado Buffaloes30c3,227$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.082,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24c5…e372backed Texas Tech Red Raiders69c2,929$2,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.16837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Colorado Buffaloes30c2,460$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.0690645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Texas Tech Red Raiders72c1,869$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.321,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Colorado Buffaloes2c1,516$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.182,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefa5…3d34backed Texas Tech Red Raiders70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.57742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Colorado Buffaloes33c1,366$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45042327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Colorado Buffaloes32c1,161$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.452653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Colorado Buffaloes29c861.05$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.064,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Colorado Buffaloes30c719$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.781453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…075ebacked Colorado Buffaloes3c696.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf43d…1e75backed Colorado Buffaloes3c666.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206931.9%22 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Colorado Buffaloes39c659.73$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.081,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Colorado Buffaloes28c525.4$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.9519950.3%100 W · 99 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Colorado Buffaloes4c411.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.59412.8%12 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Colorado Buffaloes13c406.52$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.673549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Colorado Buffaloes41c385$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.8572248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2a4…caf5backed Colorado Buffaloes7c329.47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.717020%14 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Colorado Buffaloes4c276$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.751,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Colorado Buffaloes30c250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7540147.6%191 W · 210 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0236…fa20backed Texas Tech Red Raiders72c243.85$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.28875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cea…b12dbacked Colorado Buffaloes31c226.77$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706023.3%14 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-32.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Colorado Buffaloes33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Texas Tech Red Raiders68c195.79$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.575,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7a29…b807backed Colorado Buffaloes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Texas Tech Red Raiders72c145.34$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.761,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Texas Tech Red Raiders76c134.56$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.873,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Colorado Buffaloes11c128.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.124517.8%8 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-61%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Colorado Buffaloes31c120.89$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.483,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Colorado Buffaloes11c114.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0610049%49 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Colorado Buffaloes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018129.3%53 W · 128 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Colorado Buffaloes16c93.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2461446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Texas Tech Red Raiders72c91$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4821050%105 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d78…7b8dbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders69c80$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+34.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders69c70$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.76653%35 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders70c70$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2110536.2%38 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Colorado Buffaloes30c67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.178052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72f9…629abacked Colorado Buffaloes32c62.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c34…c8b8backed Colorado Buffaloes32c62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7414339.9%57 W · 86 L-0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders70c60$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1810652.8%56 W · 50 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ea6…b729backed Texas Tech Red Raiders61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Texas Tech Red Raiders68c48.07$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3535050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Colorado Buffaloes36c37.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6130746.3%142 W · 165 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Colorado Buffaloes36c30.34$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.961,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb9b9…14cebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders70c17.14$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc25a…f243backed Texas Tech Red Raiders73c17.01$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.593786.5%32 W · 5 L+6.0wins+0.16per pick70cpaid+22.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.