Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-5.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4d42fd5963c71c762b1849b744e1ec7dc7d87c0c8f401e6d0d0aa8b48761aff

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Colorado Buffaloesof Texas Tech Red Raiders, Colorado Buffaloes
Resolved: Jan 10, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $298,141
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $298,416

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,141 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Colorado Buffaloes	50c	214,048$106,961 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107,086.9	359	45.1%162 W · 197 L	-24.4wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	50c	200,000$100,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100,000	217	54.8%119 W · 98 L	+15.3wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe73e…74febacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	52c	56,210$29,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,240	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Colorado Buffaloes	48c	23,330$11,183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,146.98	12,422	49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L	+118.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Colorado Buffaloes	48c	15,496$7,493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,003.21	906	45.4%411 W · 495 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Colorado Buffaloes	48c	10,811$5,189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,621.52	1,633	47.3%773 W · 860 L	+25.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Colorado Buffaloes	50c	8,480$4,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,239.9	841	47.4%399 W · 442 L	-13.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Colorado Buffaloes	48c	5,355$2,585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,769.56	4,848	52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L	+139.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	50c	4,400$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	-8.7wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x24c5…e372backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	51c	4,000$2,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,040	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.18per pick	56cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	170	50.6%86 W · 84 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	51c	3,000$1,530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,529.98	73	53.4%39 W · 34 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	52c	2,609$1,348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,347.53	1,074	47%505 W · 569 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea31…f286backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	50c	2,200$1,108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,108	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Colorado Buffaloes	48c	1,426$684 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$741.52	401	47.6%191 W · 210 L	+7.6wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Colorado Buffaloes	49c	1,413$692 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720.63	746	49.2%367 W · 379 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	51c	1,384$699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$698.92	2,896	50%1,448 W · 1,448 L	+71.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Colorado Buffaloes	51c	1,020$518 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$501.89	741	52.6%390 W · 351 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	51c	1,020$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	557	49.2%274 W · 283 L	-7.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefa5…3d34backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	52c	673.17$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	51c	600$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306	141	50.4%71 W · 70 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	51c	594.26$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.06	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	-4.5wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1c3…be5abacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	51c	592.76$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Colorado Buffaloes	48c	470.62$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.72	2,124	50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L	+40.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Colorado Buffaloes	49c	400$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204	820	48.2%395 W · 425 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	51c	392.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Colorado Buffaloes	50c	307$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.58	2,579	47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L	-42.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	51c	297.98$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.97	180	46.7%84 W · 96 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ff0…91fcbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	52c	267.4$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+2.3wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Colorado Buffaloes	49c	212.31$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.38	133	50.4%67 W · 66 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Colorado Buffaloes	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	200	46.5%93 W · 107 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Colorado Buffaloes	49c	200.64$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.33	1,070	46.9%502 W · 568 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	196	57.1%112 W · 84 L	+14.9wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe00f…c254backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	90	56.7%51 W · 39 L	+6.4wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	52c	173$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.15	735	49.1%361 W · 374 L	-14.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	51c	158.82$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ecc…6b37backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	52c	150$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	49c	150$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.5	152	50%76 W · 76 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	51c	147.06$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+2.5wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+21%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2722…697abacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	52c	105.77$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	51c	103.29$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.68	186	46.2%86 W · 100 L	-5.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	66	53%35 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd00e…fb86backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Colorado Buffaloes	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	352	43.2%152 W · 200 L	-11.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f8d…a462backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad01…6f40backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	30	30%9 W · 21 L	-5.2wins	-0.17per pick	47cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x89ae…ae58backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	53c	94.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	186	56.5%105 W · 81 L	+12.2wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	51c	81.75$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.69	158	44.3%70 W · 88 L	-6.5wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	53c	80$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.4	111	47.7%53 W · 58 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	52c	79.99$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.2	627	53%332 W · 295 L	+13.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	51c	70$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.7	151	56.3%85 W · 66 L	+8.6wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xacf9…c291backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	52c	63.46$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.1wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	77c	57.96$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.47	5,553	47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L	+26.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	52c	52.88$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x581b…f083backed Colorado Buffaloes	49c	48.2$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.58	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf389…e45dbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	50c	39$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	55	49.1%27 W · 28 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x81e8…f566backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf300…ca70backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	52c	38.28$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.15per pick	52cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x865a…901bbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	125	60%75 W · 50 L	+12.0wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdf67…be5bbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	51c	29.41$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Colorado Buffaloes	50c	27.7$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.85	94	40.4%38 W · 56 L	-9.7wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd8a3…61debacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	52c	23.08$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+2.3wins	+0.14per pick	51cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0bdf…7f09backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	53c	21.13$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	118	58.5%69 W · 49 L	+9.9wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b0e…b74abacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	63cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2843…9c15backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.22per pick	51cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-5.5)this page
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-6.5)Colorado Buffaloes won
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Colorado BuffaloesTexas Tech Red Raiders won
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Colorado Buffaloes: O/U 162.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-5.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event