Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4715eb64ef2d7d827b511e393cf608197edf83c71c27feeb024f648dee298b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Buffaloesof Texas Tech Red Raiders, Colorado Buffaloes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $621,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $620,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $621,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Colorado Buffaloes | 52c | 406,942$212,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194,355.48 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 208,481$100,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,070.99 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 52c | 134,785$70,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,705.02 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 133,337$64,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,001.75 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 100,000$47,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,000 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 99,874$47,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,939.44 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 25,719$12,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,300 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 52c | 22,734$11,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,937.39 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 9,244$4,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,344.7 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,919.99 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Colorado Buffaloes | 53c | 7,785$4,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,658.95 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Colorado Buffaloes | 52c | 6,084$3,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,906.86 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Colorado Buffaloes | 52c | 5,317$2,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,552.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.03 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 2,216$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.66 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Colorado Buffaloes | 53c | 1,769$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.43 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 1,721$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.85 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Colorado Buffaloes | 51c | 1,647$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.88 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Buffaloes | 48c | 1,415$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.69 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 52c | 1,377$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.98 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 1,087$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.26 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea31…f286backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 900$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Colorado Buffaloes | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +235.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 269.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.2 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 230$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 53c | 222$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.34 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 191.84$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 154.47$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.15 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…7afcbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 132.07$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…fb93backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 107.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ae…ae58backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 105$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -5.9wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -66%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff0…91fcbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 104.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Colorado Buffaloes | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 95.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 95.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 86.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e8…f566backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Colorado Buffaloes | 54c | 72.28$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Colorado Buffaloes | 52c | 53.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf67…be5bbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…aca7backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 50.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…f98cbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a53dbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 46c | 37.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78fe…3a9cbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 34.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b02…399dbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 34.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20c8…6354backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…fa6ebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 24.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…61debacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 24.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 20.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 20.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-6.5)this page
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-5.5)Colorado Buffaloes won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Colorado BuffaloesTexas Tech Red Raiders won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Colorado Buffaloes: O/U 162.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.