NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x394816cff455fc549a42f882b1c8bc0bde3009aa29a01006daa22a560f96a019
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Penguins, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,519,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,560,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,519,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 404 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Flames | 47c | 389,744$183,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183,011.6 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Penguins | 54c | 384,847$206,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178,587.05 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Penguins | 55c | 290,899$159,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130,941.01 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Flames | 46c | 200,000$92,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,799.94 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Flames | 46c | 195,653$90,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,000.38 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Flames | 45c | 156,110$70,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,249.31 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Flames | 48c | 141,287$67,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,418.32 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Penguins | 53c | 100,000$53,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,000 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Flames | 45c | 60,000$27,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,000 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Penguins | 54c | 50,000$26,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,200 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Penguins | 53c | 38,725$20,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,200.94 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Penguins | 54c | 38,157$20,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,553.88 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flames | 29c | 34,863$10,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,249.23 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Penguins | 53c | 33,358$17,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,528.37 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Penguins | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,399.94 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Flames | 46c | 25,000$11,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,499.98 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Penguins | 53c | 21,013$11,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,886.17 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Penguins | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,400 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Penguins | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Penguins | 53c | 15,677$8,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,368.2 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Penguins | 57c | 13,876$7,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,966.85 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Penguins | 53c | 12,200$6,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,734 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Penguins | 52c | 11,486$5,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,513.28 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Penguins | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Penguins | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294a…bbbabacked Flames | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Penguins | 78c | 9,340$7,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,031.53 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Penguins | 53c | 8,663$4,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,070.38 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Penguins | 72c | 8,595$6,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420.62 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Penguins | 54c | 8,400$4,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,864 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Penguins | 77c | 8,347$6,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.37 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Penguins | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,839.96 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Penguins | 55c | 7,697$4,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,476.84 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Penguins | 52c | 6,767$3,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,248.16 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Penguins | 78c | 6,549$5,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.31 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Penguins | 51c | 6,540$3,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,225.68 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Flames | 47c | 6,500$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Penguins | 55c | 6,364$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,863.64 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Flames | 49c | 5,882$2,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,869.12 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Penguins | 54c | 5,506$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,506.14 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Penguins | 51c | 5,464$2,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,677.24 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Flames | 50c | 5,288$2,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625.81 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Flames | 45c | 5,173$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,328.02 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Penguins | 55c | 5,099$2,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.55 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Penguins | 52c | 5,060$2,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,428.77 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Penguins | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Penguins | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Penguins | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Flames | 46c | 4,813$2,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,218.64 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Penguins | 52c | 4,702$2,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.95 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Penguins | 52c | 4,694$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.89 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Flames | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Flames | 33c | 4,000$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.86 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Flames | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Flames | 42c | 3,951$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.33 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Penguins | 54c | 3,699$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.04 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Flames | 46c | 3,058$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.99 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Penguins | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -5.7wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Penguins | 53c | 2,893$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.82 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Flames | 13c | 2,716$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.14 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Flames | 47c | 2,600$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Flames | 1c | 2,588$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Flames | 47c | 2,270$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.28 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Penguins | 54c | 2,200$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Flames | 46c | 2,200$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Flames | 46c | 2,170$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.11 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Flames | 46c | 2,108$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.39 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flames | 26c | 2,005$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.8 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Penguins | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc00…7a94backed Penguins | 53c | 1,912$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.51 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29ae…4d2cbacked Flames | 30c | 1,905$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.57 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae17…b10dbacked Penguins | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…15babacked Flames | 47c | 1,869$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.64 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Flames | 46c | 1,848$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Penguins | 69c | 1,800$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.9 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…2503backed Flames | 48c | 1,797$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Penguins | 54c | 1,778$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.44 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Flames | 46c | 1,748$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.97 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Penguins | 52c | 1,519$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.23 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Penguins | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Penguins | 53c | 1,367$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.35 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Flames | 47c | 1,300$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Flames | 47c | 1,300$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Flames | 10c | 1,250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Penguins | 54c | 1,214$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.61 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba31…de52backed Flames | 2c | 1,173$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Penguins | 59c | 1,050$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.22 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…5657backed Flames | 49c | 1,036$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.91 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Flames | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Penguins | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Penguins | 53c | 991.47$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.99 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Penguins | 53c | 907$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.29 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…1dd4backed Flames | 2c | 882.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Flames | 25c | 881$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.15 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6183…575fbacked Penguins | 53c | 816.98$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.98 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Penguins | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Flames | 35c | 784.09$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.06 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Flames | 49c | 765.55$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.6 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Penguins | 78c | 758.43$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.62 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…5abfbacked Flames | 50c | 750.75$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.38 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Flamesthis page
- Penguins vs. Flames: O/U 5.5Under won
- Penguins vs. Flames: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Flames (-1.5)Penguins won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.