TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Southampton FC win on 2025-12-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,588
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,906

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,588 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed No63c30,575$19,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,314.1721853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No60c30,000$18,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,00031947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes40c20,000$8,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,029.9717042.9%73 W · 97 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Yes40c19,319$7,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,727.7421154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes37c13,108$4,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,849.8835941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes39c10,905$4,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,264.626,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes37c9,855$3,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,646.313748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Yes41c9,842$4,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,048.49946.5%46 W · 53 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No59c5,470$3,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,242.5930851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No58c3,876$2,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,613.652,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No59c3,426$2,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.5546651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No60c2,672$1,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.914,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06019652%102 W · 94 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No61c1,856$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.062,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No57c1,220$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.51,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes39c1,073$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.840150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb556…14bfbacked No50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001050%5 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+47.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes42c999.93$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4195154.9%28 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes30c899.9$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2679238%35 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes37c795$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.1545751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked No64c787.21$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.218365.1%54 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes38c616.6$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.81,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Yes37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No62c525$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.111162.2%69 W · 42 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No64c492.31$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.341,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes47c384.93$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.52326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a93…32a0backed Yes43c350$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.57635.5%27 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cb0…51d5backed Yes29c340.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked No60c334$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.68552.9%45 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab90…ea07backed No62c322.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.23875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes48c312.11$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15128531.2%89 W · 196 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes42c240$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.816160.9%98 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes42c226.19$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9549544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb545…6e0abacked Yes31c207.14$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653930.8%12 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked No58c199.99$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9911443.9%50 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes37c168.1$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.212448.4%60 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca9…2a50backed No61c163.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.77560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe930…b44dbacked Yes32c150.38$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.124528.9%13 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No58c136.56$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6129041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No60c129.57$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3957744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No59c114.2$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4930739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ced…9b7cbacked No63c111$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.07425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick67cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xca6f…e727backed Yes42c110.33$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463517.1%6 W · 29 L-5.6wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-56.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x59eb…fa33backed No49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.043345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed No58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426741.8%28 W · 39 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0e…9036backed Yes42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406533.8%22 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No74c95$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.161441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Yes37c94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.783844.7%17 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No67c92.65$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.674156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No74c88.22$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9541344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Yes41c82$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.623751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes38c69.59$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.491,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes37c67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.791,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No69c67$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5620239.6%80 W · 122 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Yes31c63.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012748.8%62 W · 65 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1ea6…b729backed No64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-60.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbec8…ad82backed Yes38c58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Yes52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308048.8%39 W · 41 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes37c57$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.311,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd47a…fe91backed Yes38c53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3b5…e049backed Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab0f…bde4backed Yes47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed No71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.518251.6%94 W · 88 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Yes49c49.35$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0625256%141 W · 111 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb51b…779dbacked Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-36.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed No67c47.94$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7812159.5%72 W · 49 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes39c46.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2125949.4%128 W · 131 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8993…222dbacked Yes43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209139.6%36 W · 55 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc427…ee41backed Yes37c46$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.022045%9 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd595…7893backed No61c46$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.981573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46e8…a63dbacked Yes51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0068…d7b0backed No63c39$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.431838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Yes37c37.1$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.739650%48 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No73c35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.581,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes40c34.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9950644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe11a…d47ebacked No63c33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.212259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b46…1e90backed No64c31.88$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a05…0329backed No63c31.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.74966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes38c31.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8940157.6%231 W · 170 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes38c30.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4515452.6%81 W · 73 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1be…6974backed Yes41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.32045%9 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf71c…488bbacked No59c29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.891546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77ec…4f9cbacked No59c29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.89966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes41c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2529735.4%105 W · 192 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102548%12 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Yes52c23.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1215949.7%79 W · 80 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad68…e410backed No62c22.58$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.58633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-50.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe4b…fa4cbacked No63c22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.14650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d8…b6aebacked No73c20.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.51757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+42.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d3…432abacked No60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87866.7%52 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9255…87a4backed No63c16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.921190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick64cpaid+49.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No74c15.79$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0389152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked No64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.639067.8%61 W · 29 L+0.4wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.