CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs Misa Esports (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9484e8211ae78e115f29e87bede2621e94b368e7d9aada49111a763706a1fc02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- XI Esportof XI Esport, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Misa Esports | 3c | 4,142$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.74 | 101 | 11.9%12 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked XI Esport | 48c | 2,311$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.84 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Misa Esports | 3c | 2,093$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +95%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x754a…b95abacked XI Esport | 44c | 2,045$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x031c…9592backed XI Esport | 44c | 2,025$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…2d66backed Misa Esports | 57c | 1,912$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Misa Esports | 55c | 1,834$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -10.0wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…9e1cbacked Misa Esports | 1c | 1,638$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked XI Esport | 50c | 1,485$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.23 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Misa Esports | 3c | 1,200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79a5…e061backed Misa Esports | 56c | 685$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be5…c4ffbacked Misa Esports | 56c | 680$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37cb…8c18backed Misa Esports | 56c | 680$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7b…75b6backed Misa Esports | 56c | 680$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…52ffbacked Misa Esports | 56c | 675$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc600…e9e7backed Misa Esports | 56c | 670$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked XI Esport | 48c | 605$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.35 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Misa Esports | 52c | 595.43$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.63 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0d…7435backed XI Esport | 40c | 479.16$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Misa Esports | 7c | 347.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 77 | 6.5%5 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Misa Esports | 58c | 346.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Misa Esports | 52c | 256.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.49 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed XI Esport | 70c | 251.54$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.54 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked XI Esport | 59c | 213.22$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.62 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed XI Esport | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ef…ed27backed XI Esport | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Misa Esports | 35c | 168.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Misa Esports | 39c | 145.63$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked XI Esport | 46c | 125.95$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.23 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1347…bc3dbacked XI Esport | 75c | 106.88$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Misa Esports | 48c | 100.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9da2…ed3abacked Misa Esports | 60c | 93.42$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7433…c66cbacked XI Esport | 40c | 88.42$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f74…558dbacked Misa Esports | 31c | 83.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce7…cc16backed XI Esport | 68c | 68.17$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Misa Esports | 55c | 66.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…0b9abacked Misa Esports | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Misa Esports | 49c | 61.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c22…12c4backed XI Esport | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked XI Esport | 39c | 57.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Misa Esports | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…abf5backed XI Esport | 67c | 46.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8f…d7e3backed XI Esport | 56c | 40.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked XI Esport | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked XI Esport | 38c | 38.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c57…e556backed Misa Esports | 46c | 34.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd4…ea9abacked XI Esport | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…b729backed XI Esport | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…9881backed XI Esport | 77c | 30.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked XI Esport | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Misa Esports | 54c | 27.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…4322backed XI Esport | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs Misa Esports (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs Misa Esports - Map 1 WinnerXI Esport won
- Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs Misa Esports - Map 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.