NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Predators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5570d8ee7ba9a373d230b82f85462aedef69a69723264b54eba6e08afcb97b3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Avalanche, Predators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $325,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $327,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $325,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Predators | 33c | 149,794$49,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,984.49 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Avalanche | 68c | 50,000$34,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,000 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Predators | 32c | 44,300$14,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,175.87 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Avalanche | 67c | 36,111$24,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,027.74 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Avalanche | 66c | 31,914$21,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,850.63 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Predators | 34c | 28,709$9,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,761.08 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Avalanche | 67c | 23,380$15,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,730.99 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Avalanche | 67c | 20,000$13,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…d32bbacked Avalanche | 67c | 12,384$8,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,043.75 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche | 66c | 10,889$7,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,647.96 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Avalanche | 67c | 9,305$6,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,070.51 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Predators | 33c | 8,995$2,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,968.34 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Predators | 21c | 7,454$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.6 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche | 67c | 6,482$4,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.7 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Avalanche | 78c | 5,501$4,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.25 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Avalanche | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Avalanche | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.99 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Predators | 34c | 4,287$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.51 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…d3a1backed Predators | 32c | 4,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.99 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…5a3fbacked Avalanche | 67c | 3,731$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Avalanche | 67c | 3,731$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.23 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Avalanche | 67c | 3,500$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Avalanche | 66c | 3,400$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Predators | 33c | 3,333$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.89 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2900…af64backed Avalanche | 66c | 3,333$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Predators | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Avalanche | 66c | 2,930$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.2 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Avalanche | 66c | 2,726$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.92 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Avalanche | 66c | 2,532$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.29 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Predators | 32c | 2,375$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.12 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Avalanche | 66c | 2,235$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Avalanche | 66c | 2,226$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.15 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Predators | 1c | 2,110$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Avalanche | 66c | 1,880$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.7 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Avalanche | 68c | 1,850$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Predators | 32c | 1,822$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.51 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Predators | 30c | 1,699$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.15 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Predators | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Avalanche | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Predators | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.98 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbd…79e3backed Avalanche | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Avalanche | 68c | 1,484$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.2 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x635c…0a5dbacked Predators | 34c | 1,456$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Avalanche | 78c | 1,409$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.67 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Avalanche | 67c | 1,320$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.6 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Avalanche | 79c | 1,241$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.94 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Predators | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Avalanche | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Predators | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Avalanche | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Predators | 32c | 978.96$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.96 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Avalanche | 66c | 965$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.1 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Predators | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Avalanche | 66c | 900$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Avalanche | 66c | 881$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.49 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Predators | 32c | 817.56$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.62 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Avalanche | 79c | 793.47$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.15 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Predators | 31c | 755.83$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Predators | 32c | 750$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Avalanche | 67c | 747$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.51 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Predators | 33c | 735.06$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.57 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Predators | 33c | 735$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.55 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Predators | 33c | 729.35$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.69 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…b511backed Avalanche | 67c | 699.9$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.97 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Avalanche | 68c | 697$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.04 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Avalanche | 66c | 685.64$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.12 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Predators | 33c | 673.99$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.99 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Avalanche | 69c | 670.52$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.85 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +15.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Predators | 30c | 670$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…d765backed Predators | 34c | 655.88$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Avalanche | 66c | 600$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa609…a3d9backed Predators | 34c | 600$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Avalanche | 67c | 592.5$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.52 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Avalanche | 80c | 584.89$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.98 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Predators | 17c | 584.61$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Predators | 27c | 581.63$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.22 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Predators | 32c | 555$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Avalanche | 79c | 509.17$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.22 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Predators | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Avalanche | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Predators | 32c | 458.93$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.86 | 199 | 42.7%85 W · 114 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…a35dbacked Avalanche | 67c | 450.73$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.74 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Avalanche | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Predators | 23c | 443.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Predators | 27c | 390.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.19 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…a1e9backed Predators | 22c | 385.59$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.9 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Avalanche | 68c | 384.86$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.15 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aed…1fa2backed Predators | 33c | 369.18$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Predators | 33c | 367.5$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.28 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2304…4137backed Avalanche | 68c | 367.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa935…26e1backed Predators | 33c | 353.12$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…dffdbacked Avalanche | 68c | 351.74$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Avalanche | 67c | 350$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.2 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Avalanche | 66c | 333$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.22 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Predators | 31c | 317$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.27 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Predators | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Avalanche | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Avalanche | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Avalanche | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 416 | 50.7%211 W · 205 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Predators | 33c | 291.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.36 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Predatorsthis page
- Avalanche vs. Predators: O/U 5.5Under won
- Avalanche vs. Predators: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.