NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Oilers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ed66ce06bd37cedb4f6818572cb969c6a52679247798e83c1c6ceb2fc4bed3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Golden Knights, Oilers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $285,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $287,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Golden Knights | 45c | 49,040$21,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,927.61 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers | 56c | 20,506$11,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,072.2 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Oilers | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Golden Knights | 43c | 14,000$6,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,019.99 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Oilers | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.96 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Oilers | 53c | 8,808$4,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,139.67 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Oilers | 56c | 6,666$3,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,910.82 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Golden Knights | 15c | 6,411$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.23 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Golden Knights | 23c | 6,169$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.14 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Golden Knights | 0c | 6,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Golden Knights | 47c | 5,585$2,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,613.97 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Golden Knights | 14c | 5,261$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.76 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Golden Knights | 46c | 5,086$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.93 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Oilers | 55c | 4,948$2,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240.28 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…a3acbacked Oilers | 79c | 4,535$3,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.04 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc0…a8a0backed Golden Knights | 23c | 4,259$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Oilers | 55c | 4,136$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.36 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec32…1634backed Oilers | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Golden Knights | 1c | 3,489$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…fdd3backed Golden Knights | 1c | 3,482$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Golden Knights | 12c | 3,214$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.84 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Golden Knights | 14c | 2,712$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.91 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Golden Knights | 15c | 2,400$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Golden Knights | 26c | 2,245$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.94 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Golden Knights | 6c | 2,124$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.94 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Golden Knights | 42c | 2,009$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.97 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Golden Knights | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Golden Knights | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Golden Knights | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Golden Knights | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.99 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +7.5wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Golden Knights | 4c | 1,882$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.08 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Golden Knights | 3c | 1,856$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Golden Knights | 1c | 1,639$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x594f…392cbacked Oilers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Golden Knights | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Oilers | 56c | 1,410$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.15 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…2bacbacked Oilers | 68c | 1,344$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.94 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Golden Knights | 17c | 1,274$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.8 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Golden Knights | 22c | 1,136$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.82 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Oilers | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…5344backed Oilers | 54c | 1,073$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.58 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Oilers | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Golden Knights | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Golden Knights | 43c | 999.51$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.76 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Golden Knights | 46c | 998.98$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.53 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Oilers | 72c | 963.55$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.03 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3a…1df9backed Golden Knights | 2c | 926.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Golden Knights | 28c | 858.47$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.61 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oilers | 76c | 826.39$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.83 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Oilers | 75c | 781.42$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.18 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…15babacked Oilers | 54c | 770$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.2 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…fe84backed Golden Knights | 42c | 740$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95e…4d98backed Oilers | 56c | 721.97$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Oilers | 69c | 696$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.33 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…94febacked Golden Knights | 7c | 680.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Oilers | 55c | 654$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.39 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb0…4cd4backed Golden Knights | 2c | 649.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Oilers | 58c | 620.69$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.69 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8054…150cbacked Golden Knights | 2c | 609.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…4c6dbacked Golden Knights | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Golden Knights | 44c | 566$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.04 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Oilers | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Golden Knights | 9c | 520.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Golden Knights | 10c | 507.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2eb…9b76backed Oilers | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Golden Knights | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x281f…b7b5backed Golden Knights | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Golden Knights | 45c | 499.95$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.98 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Oilers | 58c | 496$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.32 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e97…a3d7backed Golden Knights | 42c | 450$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Golden Knights | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x563e…3392backed Oilers | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Golden Knights | 15c | 381.47$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.22 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Golden Knights | 45c | 370.98$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.97 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Oilers | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 417 | 57.3%239 W · 178 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e3…e5b3backed Golden Knights | 5c | 369.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c3…4d64backed Oilers | 58c | 350$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Golden Knights | 44c | 341$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.04 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Golden Knights | 27c | 327.88$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Oilers | 53c | 320.39$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.58 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Golden Knights | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…2481backed Oilers | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Golden Knights | 17c | 300$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa271…f308backed Oilers | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2e…bfa2backed Golden Knights | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…4f77backed Golden Knights | 45c | 291.4$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.13 | 386 | 45.1%174 W · 212 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa7…cf57backed Oilers | 58c | 290$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Golden Knights | 45c | 266.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf9…a4a8backed Golden Knights | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Oilers | 55c | 249.94$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.47 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Golden Knights | 15c | 234$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Golden Knights | 45c | 233.33$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Oilers | 60c | 232.4$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Golden Knights | 45c | 225$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf37…58b4backed Golden Knights | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Oilers | 53c | 218.68$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.85 | 600 | 42.8%257 W · 343 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Oilers | 54c | 216.67$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.67 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Oilers | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee6d…26b2backed Oilers | 58c | 210$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Golden Knights | 17c | 205.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Oilersthis page
- Golden Knights vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.