Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: DRX Challengers vs. T1 Academy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd68d36a9d8ae556303b07399ee7d2911e58cb95c2149a7771e0c39bde477f5ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1 Academyof DRX Challengers, T1 Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,058
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfec7…1594backed DRX Challengers | 18c | 12,400$2,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,203.36 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed T1 Academy | 76c | 10,797$8,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,601.22 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked T1 Academy | 63c | 3,721$2,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.77 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed DRX Challengers | 37c | 3,500$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed DRX Challengers | 2c | 2,942$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed DRX Challengers | 23c | 1,575$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.02 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…0151backed DRX Challengers | 34c | 1,350$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.88 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…cb47backed T1 Academy | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed T1 Academy | 77c | 784.17$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.96 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked DRX Challengers | 16c | 591.52$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.64 | 91 | 27.5%25 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed DRX Challengers | 43c | 500$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.07 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…d9d7backed DRX Challengers | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed T1 Academy | 56c | 402.44$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.07 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed T1 Academy | 62c | 328$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.92 | 214 | 48.1%103 W · 111 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed DRX Challengers | 38c | 299.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…29aebacked DRX Challengers | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd93…bd6fbacked T1 Academy | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd0…652bbacked T1 Academy | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked DRX Challengers | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…1f26backed T1 Academy | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked T1 Academy | 63c | 63.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 228 | 58.3%133 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed DRX Challengers | 36c | 56.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -18.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0db9…d97cbacked DRX Challengers | 27c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed DRX Challengers | 39c | 43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bc…096ebacked T1 Academy | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked DRX Challengers | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.