WNBA · resolved market
Mystics vs. Sparks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe45fb699bbf26ad399beaa1c66323810438939728276a19d1b2d1e441f01500c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sparksof Mystics, Sparks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,626
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Sparks | 77c | 5,065$3,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.92 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Sparks | 76c | 3,989$3,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.3 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Mystics | 30c | 3,053$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.54 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Mystics | 23c | 2,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Mystics | 23c | 1,718$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.09 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Mystics | 11c | 1,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sparks | 77c | 796.83$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.27 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Sparks | 78c | 775.4$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.66 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Mystics | 17c | 659.65$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.14 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Mystics | 23c | 640$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.2 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Mystics | 39c | 639.9$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Mystics | 22c | 600$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.15 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Mystics | 14c | 576.01$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 92 | 14.1%13 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Mystics | 19c | 535.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Mystics | 23c | 499.95$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.99 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Mystics | 22c | 486.18$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.96 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Sparks | 77c | 479.85$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.12 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mystics | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…08d1backed Mystics | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mystics | 17c | 381.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.94 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mystics | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mystics | 23c | 300$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.25 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sparks | 77c | 296$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Mystics | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Mystics | 4c | 288.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ac…2c1abacked Sparks | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…4e87backed Mystics | 39c | 256.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Mystics | 36c | 150.05$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.73 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Sparks | 74c | 132.45$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b22…1d59backed Sparks | 79c | 115.32$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Mystics | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Sparks | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xded7…1ef1backed Sparks | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Mystics | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Mystics | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…1f26backed Mystics | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Mystics | 21c | 95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Mystics | 13c | 89.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8389…db1bbacked Mystics | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Sparks | 77c | 75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Mystics | 23c | 71.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed Mystics | 23c | 69.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Sparks | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7c…f01ebacked Sparks | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b62…7418backed Mystics | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Sparks | 70c | 60.89$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Mystics | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Sparks | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Mystics | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Sparks | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Mystics | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Mystics | 36c | 33.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Sparks | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Sparks | 64c | 23.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Sparks | 64c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9355…eab4backed Sparks | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45f1…8994backed Sparks | 78c | 17.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Sparks | 76c | 16.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.