MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bb51c8ee22d251cb83abce5f53ec59a1eed6710c9a77f07797753e22cd74013
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twinsof Nationals, Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,082,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,081,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,082,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed Nationals | 41c | 926,177$382,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382,787.49 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Twins | 59c | 389,560$229,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159,971.45 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Twins | 60c | 188,401$112,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,301.05 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Twins | 58c | 87,500$51,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,350 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Twins | 58c | 80,930$47,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,925.54 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Twins | 60c | 59,555$35,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,973.11 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Twins | 58c | 30,000$17,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,600 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Nationals | 15c | 21,902$3,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,391.04 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Twins | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Twins | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Twins | 66c | 17,642$11,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,934.22 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Twins | 58c | 14,210$8,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,968.2 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Nationals | 27c | 13,119$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Nationals | 36c | 11,806$4,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250.98 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Twins | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Twins | 60c | 7,950$4,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,183.89 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Twins | 60c | 6,338$3,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565.29 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Twins | 59c | 5,900$3,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 23c | 5,782$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.14 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Twins | 58c | 5,688$3,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,395.84 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Twins | 59c | 3,600$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Nationals | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Nationals | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Nationals | 23c | 2,471$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.72 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Twins | 58c | 2,431$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.03 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Twins | 57c | 2,312$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.16 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Twins | 68c | 2,196$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.63 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Twins | 71c | 2,133$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.36 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Twins | 59c | 2,129$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.76 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Twins | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Nationals | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Nationals | 40c | 1,904$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.62 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe22…397ebacked Twins | 57c | 1,900$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Twins | 65c | 1,860$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.74 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Twins | 58c | 1,795$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c4…6ea5backed Nationals | 24c | 1,777$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.56 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Twins | 59c | 1,608$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.47 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab0…7720backed Nationals | 43c | 1,600$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5edb…3865backed Twins | 57c | 1,596$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.28 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe80d…f284backed Nationals | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Nationals | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c24…a8cbbacked Nationals | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81ad…7cfabacked Nationals | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Nationals | 40c | 1,433$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.5 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3a…da24backed Twins | 57c | 1,404$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…77f1backed Nationals | 4c | 1,200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…f88ebacked Twins | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Nationals | 19c | 1,048$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nationals | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Nationals | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Nationals | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Nationals | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Twins | 63c | 948.59$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.98 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Twins | 60c | 944.35$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.74 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Nationals | 15c | 924.37$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Twins | 79c | 843.15$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.17 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c43…1f64backed Nationals | 43c | 815$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…c866backed Twins | 57c | 815$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Twins | 60c | 741.56$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.22 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked Nationals | 12c | 699.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Nationals | 41c | 656$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.96 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Twins | 60c | 620$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Nationals | 42c | 613$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.46 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Nationals | 42c | 516$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.72 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…5b87backed Twins | 73c | 500$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Twins | 60c | 499$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.44 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nationals | 26c | 416.51$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.91 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Nationals | 28c | 409.94$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.58 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Nationals | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Nationals | 17c | 396.65$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Twins | 57c | 326.04$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.49 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Nationals | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nationals | 12c | 291.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Nationals | 39c | 259.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nationals | 41c | 258$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.78 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Nationals | 41c | 251.41$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.08 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 41c | 250.48$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.51 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Nationals | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Nationals | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Nationals | 41c | 224.39$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Twins | 58c | 224.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.14 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Nationals | 43c | 220$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Nationals | 23c | 219.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Nationals | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Twins | 79c | 196$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Nationals | 43c | 182$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.26 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Twins | 58c | 173.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.48 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc138…3e3dbacked Twins | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1431…122abacked Nationals | 43c | 165.95$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Twins | 61c | 162.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.71 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…1f26backed Nationals | 19c | 160$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed Nationals | 16c | 158.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Nationals | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Nationals | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Nationals | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Twins | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Nationals | 35c | 140.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.