MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ab9f0ea0947231c39a5cf58c8be8f971b3cabcaaf9fc861b77e7f98473a702d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Marlins, Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $685,151
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $690,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $685,151 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 458 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed Brewers | 58c | 477,485$279,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198,460.66 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Marlins | 41c | 179,487$74,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,137.9 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Marlins | 42c | 155,000$65,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,100 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Marlins | 50c | 33,858$16,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,877.63 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Marlins | 41c | 29,927$12,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,369.72 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Marlins | 54c | 29,000$15,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,626.17 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Marlins | 41c | 25,000$10,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,250 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Brewers | 47c | 24,721$11,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,136.71 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Marlins | 42c | 15,964$6,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,705.08 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Marlins | 42c | 15,671$6,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,581.88 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Marlins | 43c | 10,613$4,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,519.54 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Brewers | 48c | 10,383$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,382.79 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marlins | 41c | 10,279$4,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,214.42 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins | 42c | 9,976$4,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,189.92 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…f94fbacked Marlins | 53c | 9,348$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Marlins | 61c | 5,854$3,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,552.04 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 51c | 5,819$2,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,986.24 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers | 60c | 4,444$2,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.13 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Marlins | 52c | 3,504$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.97 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Marlins | 44c | 3,379$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.39 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Marlins | 41c | 3,349$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.12 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…7926backed Marlins | 59c | 3,013$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Marlins | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Brewers | 58c | 2,800$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.99 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Brewers | 49c | 2,784$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.78 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Marlins | 41c | 2,764$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.86 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Marlins | 41c | 2,600$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Brewers | 59c | 2,600$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Marlins | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Brewers | 56c | 2,318$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.05 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Marlins | 68c | 2,310$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.89 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked Brewers | 57c | 2,268$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.38 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Brewers | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Marlins | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.99 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…f3fdbacked Marlins | 42c | 1,988$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.67 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Brewers | 60c | 1,748$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.06 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Marlins | 51c | 1,564$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.64 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Marlins | 49c | 1,464$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.63 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Marlins | 43c | 1,463$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.09 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Marlins | 39c | 1,250$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.5 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Marlins | 40c | 1,159$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.56 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Marlins | 37c | 1,115$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.7 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…16aebacked Marlins | 70c | 1,050$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Marlins | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Brewers | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Marlins | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Marlins | 62c | 937$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.06 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Marlins | 31c | 903.23$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Marlins | 41c | 899.99$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.99 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Marlins | 45c | 835.01$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.45 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Marlins | 39c | 796.23$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.53 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Brewers | 57c | 738.81$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.42 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Marlins | 38c | 695.92$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.45 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Marlins | 3c | 675$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Brewers | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Marlins | 50c | 648.42$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.55 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Brewers | 46c | 601.73$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.18 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins | 38c | 600$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Brewers | 66c | 535.05$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.73 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Marlins | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Marlins | 51c | 488.75$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.26 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Marlins | 42c | 458.95$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.76 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Brewers | 46c | 430.89$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.07 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Marlins | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Brewers | 55c | 378$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.78 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Brewers | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Marlins | 55c | 355$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.76 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…0f19backed Marlins | 42c | 345.24$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Brewers | 57c | 340$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.6 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Marlins | 58c | 338.44$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.5 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Brewers | 55c | 318.74$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef69…a854backed Brewers | 63c | 314.57$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.39 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Brewers | 37c | 305.37$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.05 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Brewers | 61c | 303.36$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.67 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Marlins | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f7…58dbbacked Marlins | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.28per pick | 55cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…5b87backed Marlins | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 40c | 299.98$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.62 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Marlins | 42c | 285.71$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Brewers | 40c | 263$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.77 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Brewers | 70c | 256.84$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.09 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Brewers | 62c | 253.23$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.23 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Brewers | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed Marlins | 73c | 247.16$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.43 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Marlins | 41c | 243.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Brewers | 44c | 240$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Marlins | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Marlins | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…4979backed Brewers | 30c | 233.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.33 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Marlins | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Marlins | 42c | 232.55$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Brewers | 42c | 228.94$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.88 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…8a88backed Marlins | 47c | 223.13$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.12 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Brewers | 37c | 210.11$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.37 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Brewers | 50c | 204.28$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.23 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Brewers | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30be…3566backed Marlins | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…4b6fbacked Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf716…c440backed Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c2…0705backed Brewers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.