Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: DN Freecs vs. BNK FEARX
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x196bff11be7d3973097d6d3f147eeb6246eb42331d6b1c76e6fe81118ca7d666
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BNK FEARXof DN Freecs, BNK FEARX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed DN Freecs | 34c | 18,092$6,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,144.39 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed BNK FEARX | 66c | 12,000$7,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,020 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed DN Freecs | 34c | 4,494$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.17 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed BNK FEARX | 65c | 4,100$2,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae0e…6527backed BNK FEARX | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed DN Freecs | 32c | 2,972$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +29%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed BNK FEARX | 68c | 1,800$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked DN Freecs | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x429d…39a7backed DN Freecs | 9c | 1,484$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.4 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked BNK FEARX | 74c | 1,400$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed DN Freecs | 37c | 1,326$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.55 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…77f1backed DN Freecs | 15c | 1,157$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.09 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked BNK FEARX | 67c | 1,001$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.85 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed DN Freecs | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed50…9e1fbacked BNK FEARX | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +7.8wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +328.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfee3…58b2backed DN Freecs | 34c | 982.34$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed DN Freecs | 4c | 850.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59e9…4660backed BNK FEARX | 62c | 816.96$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked BNK FEARX | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed DN Freecs | 27c | 718.08$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.73 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked BNK FEARX | 65c | 650$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.5 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked BNK FEARX | 66c | 599.99$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…998bbacked BNK FEARX | 69c | 596.42$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.89 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…22efbacked BNK FEARX | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked BNK FEARX | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 131 | 64.9%85 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed BNK FEARX | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 205 | 63.9%131 W · 74 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed DN Freecs | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed BNK FEARX | 60c | 299.99$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed BNK FEARX | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 153 | 70.6%108 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked BNK FEARX | 71c | 282.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.42 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed DN Freecs | 35c | 264.61$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.7 | 525 | 38.9%204 W · 321 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed BNK FEARX | 49c | 205.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.16 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked BNK FEARX | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 194 | 51%99 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed DN Freecs | 30c | 198.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.22 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977b…10d9backed DN Freecs | 38c | 175.87$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…1f26backed DN Freecs | 33c | 174.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed DN Freecs | 36c | 163.89$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -7.5wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…e147backed BNK FEARX | 68c | 152.22$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed BNK FEARX | 65c | 150$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 433 | 48.7%211 W · 222 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd303…9c76backed DN Freecs | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…a104backed DN Freecs | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed BNK FEARX | 66c | 148.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2,222 | 37.4%832 W · 1,390 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed BNK FEARX | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed DN Freecs | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed DN Freecs | 40c | 122.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e98…ae0fbacked DN Freecs | 15c | 111.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked DN Freecs | 31c | 96.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -13.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed DN Freecs | 45c | 95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed DN Freecs | 36c | 79.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebce…f37bbacked BNK FEARX | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed BNK FEARX | 68c | 58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…eea7backed BNK FEARX | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…3a93backed BNK FEARX | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b17…1713backed BNK FEARX | 68c | 39.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3d…d8d1backed BNK FEARX | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf15a…6df2backed BNK FEARX | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…8d1bbacked BNK FEARX | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed BNK FEARX | 64c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 364 | 65.1%237 W · 127 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed DN Freecs | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 302 | 43%130 W · 172 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69d…ac68backed BNK FEARX | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.