TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Diamondbacks vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Diamondbacksof Diamondbacks, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$157,014
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$165,258

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,014 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 554 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3745…cf3bbacked Rangers59c25,690$15,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,123.538047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Diamondbacks41c13,112$5,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,736.331,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Rangers46c10,887$4,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,955.4254345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Rangers58c6,525$3,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,784.639255.4%51 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Diamondbacks42c6,167$2,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,577.0616647.6%79 W · 87 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7485…600abacked Diamondbacks42c5,240$2,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,039.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Diamondbacks41c5,000$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,95034245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b81…38cfbacked Diamondbacks42c4,645$1,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,694.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Diamondbacks25c3,963$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,963.2413946.8%65 W · 74 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0822…c30ebacked Rangers58c3,448$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08a0…a79abacked Rangers58c3,448$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ccf…c116backed Diamondbacks42c3,216$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,865.479745.4%44 W · 53 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Diamondbacks29c3,110$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,210.3195930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ebe…5e03backed Rangers58c3,105$1,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800.910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks21c2,541$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,995.759,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3219…4f05backed Diamondbacks42c2,444$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.523053.3%16 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+25.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd428…6368backed Rangers57c2,029$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.6739456.9%224 W · 170 L-0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c73…2949backed Diamondbacks42c1,900$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks41c1,854$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.782,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b6…cd1abacked Diamondbacks42c1,667$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.86757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Rangers58c1,626$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.6218837.8%71 W · 117 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d57…d7ffbacked Rangers58c1,623$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.345850%29 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Diamondbacks42c1,463$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.5423455.6%130 W · 104 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc6…f0f8backed Rangers74c1,347$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011051.8%57 W · 53 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x89cd…f03bbacked Rangers59c1,200$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7081838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf2e…52bcbacked Diamondbacks42c1,193$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.94771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+55.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x954b…ad5ebacked Diamondbacks13c1,132$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.652321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcab0…4cd3backed Diamondbacks10c1,079$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.629447.9%45 W · 49 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6d9…f7ffbacked Rangers58c1,033$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.14922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-60%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x948a…5d1dbacked Rangers58c1,017$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.86862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Rangers71c992.79$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.9243946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0475…3cc5backed Rangers58c986$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.88742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b5c…9038backed Rangers58c914$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.12540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x448b…a674backed Rangers58c914$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.12837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Diamondbacks41c900$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53150843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58a0…0065backed Diamondbacks42c857$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.06944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc623…9afdbacked Rangers58c853.63$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.1113553.3%72 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Diamondbacks41c820$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.824547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Diamondbacks33c766.58$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.581,21540.5%492 W · 723 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb08…c038backed Rangers58c753$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.74540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked Diamondbacks43c632$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.2416552.1%86 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks21c591.37$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.72,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Diamondbacks41c541$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.1944443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Diamondbacks39c500$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.5532042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Diamondbacks42c499.98$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.9995950.1%480 W · 479 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Rangers58c494$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.5224253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Rangers73c489.23$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.6680680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Rangers64c482$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.572,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Diamondbacks42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.1956351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Diamondbacks42c475.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.081,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Diamondbacks43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.1263052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Diamondbacks42c450$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26166751.9%346 W · 321 L+30.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Rangers73c410$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.818155.8%101 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Diamondbacks43c380.79$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.0570946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Diamondbacks30c335.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.441,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Diamondbacks9c334.52$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.4110849.1%53 W · 55 L+9.7wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Diamondbacks41c313.43$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.361,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Diamondbacks43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17183248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Diamondbacks42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1741,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Diamondbacks42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17430850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Rangers51c290.12$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.0273149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Diamondbacks42c247.62$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.6299951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab5…2c4dbacked Diamondbacks43c235$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.951637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cbe…fce9backed Diamondbacks43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.565242.3%22 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Diamondbacks43c204.91$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.81,08646.2%502 W · 584 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Diamondbacks43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1143,30346.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b5a…d1bbbacked Diamondbacks42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1165250%26 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e9…4ef4backed Rangers58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1165056%28 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec14…afbbbacked Rangers58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1168051.3%41 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2019…a6a9backed Diamondbacks42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1167653.9%41 W · 35 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7752…490bbacked Rangers58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1165349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3236…8f9ebacked Diamondbacks42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1167757.1%44 W · 33 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4258…2612backed Rangers58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1165538.2%21 W · 34 L-8.5wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-29%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2fd6…966cbacked Diamondbacks42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1167346.6%34 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea7…b555backed Diamondbacks42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1165257.7%30 W · 22 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb033…88e6backed Diamondbacks42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1165253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c61…a273backed Diamondbacks42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1167546.7%35 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e48…c9cabacked Rangers58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1165339.6%21 W · 32 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbbf…f78fbacked Rangers58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1165139.2%20 W · 31 L-6.6wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-25.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6caa…d782backed Diamondbacks42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1165145.1%23 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea21…9033backed Rangers58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1165250%26 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bfa…2fa8backed Rangers58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1165347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67b8…729cbacked Diamondbacks42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1167960.8%48 W · 31 L+8.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbc81…40c9backed Diamondbacks42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1165147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c37…a9efbacked Diamondbacks42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1165255.8%29 W · 23 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f6f…a521backed Rangers58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1165349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8187…fbe2backed Diamondbacks42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1165251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e0a…bb8ebacked Rangers58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1165253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab77…cd04backed Rangers58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1165356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x46fe…78dabacked Diamondbacks42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1165366%35 W · 18 L+9.3wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+37%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf6ff…42f7backed Rangers58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1165154.9%28 W · 23 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9194…cc43backed Rangers58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1165362.3%33 W · 20 L+6.7wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+27%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x97cd…1d85backed Rangers58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1165455.6%30 W · 24 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1e5…0bccbacked Diamondbacks42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1165160.8%31 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa393…f478backed Rangers58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1165149%25 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x806e…2d21backed Rangers58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1165330.2%16 W · 37 L-11.2wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-41.4%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xce4f…0170backed Rangers58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1165451.9%28 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf45…413abacked Rangers58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1165453.7%29 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ebb…670dbacked Diamondbacks42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1165152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb65a…3aa3backed Rangers58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1165358.5%31 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.