Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Saturday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa49995e1eeee7465809940f222f6b417011e4219fdd61751832957f212ad6870
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $154,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,838
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xedc0…99f3backed No | 14c | 6,510$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.88 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3007…763abacked Yes | 68c | 5,320$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe085…5474backed No | 15c | 2,886$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.96 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +123.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fa…b277backed No | 25c | 2,593$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7214…433bbacked No | 60c | 2,585$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.88 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800f…3586backed No | 20c | 2,523$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…e0a3backed Yes | 77c | 2,325$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf189…8e47backed Yes | 59c | 1,582$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.35 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 76c | 1,531$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.42 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f07…9517backed No | 39c | 1,405$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked No | 11c | 1,360$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8b…6503backed No | 16c | 1,310$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…c066backed Yes | 52c | 1,303$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.57 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 48c | 1,281$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.06 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 7c | 1,240$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.06 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e23…7788backed No | 33c | 1,122$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed No | 7c | 1,115$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.48 | 123 | 5.7%7 W · 116 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 79c | 1,101$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed Yes | 75c | 1,075$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.5 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | +18.4wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed No | 30c | 1,039$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3837…fbb3backed No | 9c | 1,008$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x358a…d45fbacked No | 27c | 975.3$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.28 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4083…363fbacked No | 13c | 900$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9062…96c3backed No | 29c | 891.14$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 17c | 838.15$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.1 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 19c | 831.06$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.84 | 136 | 29.4%40 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc7…8a27backed No | 12c | 825.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3c…dc0dbacked No | 40c | 799.14$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…4b76backed Yes | 56c | 797.4$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.4 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed Yes | 51c | 795.18$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.67 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d6…665ebacked No | 17c | 784.62$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b8…acebbacked No | 29c | 739.08$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f0…0272backed No | 33c | 729.06$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bc…c11abacked No | 42c | 710.26$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 8c | 694$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 62c | 643.31$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.45 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3033backed Yes | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ee…ec14backed No | 20c | 584.94$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.13 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…75d8backed Yes | 60c | 582.52$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.52 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…2225backed No | 7c | 555$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…d452backed No | 41c | 536.31$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x290e…b493backed No | 41c | 530$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed No | 8c | 529.84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 197 | 6.6%13 W · 184 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed No | 24c | 525.15$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.39 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 24c | 518.47$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.88 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ec…1dadbacked Yes | 74c | 515.6$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.63 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…9781backed No | 36c | 484.57$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 58c | 475.99$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.44 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 65c | 468.29$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.69 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd8…3047backed No | 10c | 456.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 23c | 455.45$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.82 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…904fbacked Yes | 68c | 455.43$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.73 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 64c | 449.99$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.5 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd50a…ec9bbacked No | 11c | 443$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…80d2backed No | 24c | 441.25$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 28c | 440.14$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.63 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 72c | 434.32$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.92 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4581…c6adbacked No | 38c | 433.29$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.62 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed No | 23c | 430.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa52f…0425backed No | 46c | 417.56$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.29 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…41edbacked No | 30c | 415.45$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cb…c997backed No | 77c | 403.96$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe848…282ebacked No | 36c | 390$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 54c | 387.27$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.12 | 179 | 31.3%56 W · 123 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 61c | 384.98$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.94 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed Yes | 69c | 360.52$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.14 | 211 | 60.7%128 W · 83 L | +14.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 42c | 333$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.86 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0607…8bc8backed Yes | 59c | 327.1$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -46%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01f2…f06ebacked Yes | 63c | 317.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.31 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a26…a80fbacked No | 43c | 316.2$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…7e15backed No | 44c | 303$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…82e4backed No | 17c | 299.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe4…8cbfbacked No | 13c | 297.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2840…4f2abacked Yes | 77c | 295.94$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7d…6cc4backed No | 28c | 295.61$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…117cbacked No | 17c | 293.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e34…9cd8backed No | 20c | 290$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc351…0f89backed No | 20c | 277.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…1f26backed No | 40c | 270$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.7 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…310dbacked No | 38c | 265$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…0647backed Yes | 55c | 250.89$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.9 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed No | 44c | 246.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.78 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…ba10backed No | 32c | 239$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…7607backed No | 38c | 232.7$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b5a5backed No | 44c | 225.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…1e34backed No | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02cc…21c1backed No | 13c | 220.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…97f4backed Yes | 56c | 220$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.63 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe781…5e52backed No | 45c | 217.71$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.97 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 58c | 210$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked No | 53c | 208.71$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3086…fb7ebacked Yes | 73c | 208.31$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 15c | 200.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8b…1ea1backed No | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed No | 30c | 193.48$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x11f3…d859backed Yes | 33c | 191.88$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.85 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…fe1cbacked No | 16c | 185.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.