MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x112e3be1aeaa281c219658efc47d2140943fcc5217a021ca66bb3b01820211d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Athletics, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $617,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $638,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $617,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 424 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Pirates | 51c | 404,876$206,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206,114.16 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Athletics | 49c | 156,135$76,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,628.69 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Athletics | 49c | 70,531$34,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,970.72 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Pirates | 50c | 61,470$30,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,734.82 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Athletics | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,600 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Athletics | 49c | 30,600$14,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,606 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Athletics | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Athletics | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Athletics | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,650 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Athletics | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Athletics | 62c | 13,843$8,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,260.34 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Athletics | 49c | 13,665$6,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,969.15 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Athletics | 49c | 13,000$6,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,630 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pirates | 43c | 11,613$4,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,973.85 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Athletics | 55c | 11,262$6,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,071.11 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Athletics | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Athletics | 49c | 7,700$3,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,927 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics | 50c | 5,131$2,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,588.83 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Athletics | 50c | 4,601$2,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300.5 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Pirates | 54c | 4,048$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187.26 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Pirates | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.94 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Athletics | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Athletics | 49c | 2,537$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.87 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Athletics | 62c | 2,280$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Athletics | 47c | 2,256$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.41 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Athletics | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Pirates | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pirates | 49c | 1,770$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.35 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked Pirates | 78c | 1,395$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.75 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pirates | 49c | 1,229$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.08 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Athletics | 49c | 1,130$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.3 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Athletics | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…9726backed Pirates | 49c | 999.96$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Athletics | 51c | 980$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.2 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Athletics | 59c | 948.74$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Athletics | 50c | 915.87$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.93 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Athletics | 47c | 860.64$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.14 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Athletics | 29c | 853.31$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.31 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Athletics | 50c | 840$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates | 47c | 821.8$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.67 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…009bbacked Athletics | 31c | 800$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Pirates | 78c | 800$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Pirates | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Athletics | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Pirates | 15c | 733.6$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.44 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Pirates | 34c | 729.09$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.36 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Athletics | 50c | 687.02$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.51 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 37c | 679.99$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.48 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Athletics | 44c | 674.28$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.71 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pirates | 40c | 603$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.95 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Athletics | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Pirates | 57c | 596.62$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.22 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Pirates | 40c | 549.93$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.97 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed Athletics | 30c | 500$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc913…e51cbacked Athletics | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…3231backed Athletics | 51c | 460$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.4 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Athletics | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Athletics | 49c | 396.6$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.28 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pirates | 51c | 395$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.45 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x670f…3f29backed Athletics | 51c | 391.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.94 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Athletics | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Athletics | 16c | 377.22$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.21 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb3…2d43backed Athletics | 39c | 321.46$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.46 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Athletics | 47c | 318.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.9 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Athletics | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Athletics | 52c | 299.98$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.49 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics | 52c | 292.05$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.8 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Pirates | 20c | 280.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.06 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Athletics | 50c | 270$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Athletics | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.38 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Athletics | 52c | 203.85$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.85 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…7ddabacked Pirates | 50c | 202$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -8.0wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9533…6d5fbacked Pirates | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38f7…7f8dbacked Pirates | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…fb4fbacked Pirates | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe5…3c80backed Pirates | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df5…2390backed Pirates | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Athletics | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Athletics | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.6 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…1ff7backed Athletics | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc805…e5dbbacked Athletics | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee0f…f1dcbacked Athletics | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…c2a7backed Pirates | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac3…fd57backed Athletics | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…ba79backed Pirates | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabad…961cbacked Athletics | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd18…1e0bbacked Pirates | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…8443backed Pirates | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…7be5backed Athletics | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed2…1bfabacked Athletics | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0819…daa2backed Pirates | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea7…28aabacked Athletics | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…798bbacked Pirates | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4767…3838backed Pirates | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6679…ceb7backed Athletics | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb35d…27b8backed Pirates | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc2…bfcfbacked Pirates | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…dbe9backed Pirates | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ceb…489fbacked Athletics | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Piratesthis page
- Athletics vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.