MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac80e156bcec172f82cb35973560d4cb884c32f8aaf6510a231bc1ba5467f227
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof Pirates, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $216,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $218,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 438 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Nationals | 30c | 47,826$14,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,641.79 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pirates | 63c | 27,407$17,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,285.66 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Nationals | 50c | 22,647$11,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,323.51 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Pirates | 50c | 18,389$9,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,194.5 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Pirates | 72c | 14,560$10,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,533.76 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Nationals | 49c | 13,456$6,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,862.53 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Pirates | 51c | 12,377$6,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,311.33 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Pirates | 5c | 9,807$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.31 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed Nationals | 35c | 8,462$2,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500.51 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Pirates | 49c | 5,201$2,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548.53 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 54c | 4,155$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.41 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Nationals | 50c | 2,569$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.18 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Pirates | 68c | 2,220$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 49c | 2,079$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.74 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pirates | 49c | 2,058$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.57 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Pirates | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…114dbacked Pirates | 61c | 1,193$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.95 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Pirates | 68c | 997.33$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.52 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nationals | 30c | 957.56$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.86 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Pirates | 50c | 955.04$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.52 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Nationals | 49c | 940$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.4 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Pirates | 42c | 937$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.2 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Nationals | 51c | 882.35$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.35 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Pirates | 60c | 874$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.4 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Nationals | 51c | 806.13$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.9 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pirates | 63c | 804.55$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.73 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Pirates | 63c | 784$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.47 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Nationals | 51c | 784$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.16 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Nationals | 41c | 780.26$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.68 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Nationals | 49c | 698.99$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.49 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Nationals | 35c | 635$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.75 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pirates | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Nationals | 46c | 522.45$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.09 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…34bcbacked Pirates | 31c | 480$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…da81backed Pirates | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -6.2wins | -0.45per pick | 52cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Pirates | 9c | 450$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Nationals | 33c | 434.26$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.56 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Nationals | 50c | 419$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.5 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Nationals | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Nationals | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Pirates | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…f49bbacked Pirates | 50c | 384.4$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…28fabacked Nationals | 51c | 384.35$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.33 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pirates | 56c | 369.23$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.53 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Pirates | 65c | 362.43$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.53 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked Nationals | 36c | 331.56$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.14 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffbc…b889backed Nationals | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Nationals | 58c | 294$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.7 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Nationals | 44c | 293.48$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.27 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Nationals | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Nationals | 50c | 269.74$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.87 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Nationals | 51c | 207.84$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.84 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Nationals | 51c | 204.45$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.45 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Pirates | 28c | 200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Nationals | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…ba49backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e40…4efabacked Pirates | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…e142backed Nationals | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc805…e5dbbacked Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…565dbacked Nationals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…6f65backed Nationals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…18cfbacked Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…502ebacked Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcd…8364backed Nationals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41dd…05fabacked Nationals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…cd16backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4463…7565backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…3223backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9788…ad77backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3070…218cbacked Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18fa…4a5ebacked Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…716ebacked Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e2…5daebacked Nationals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5b…02fabacked Nationals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…289fbacked Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…5c0bbacked Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…3068backed Nationals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0add…142bbacked Nationals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01d6…b3a6backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…7b28backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6b…0c40backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9e…5af9backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd72b…584fbacked Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…e84cbacked Nationals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf44e…e7f7backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…ec88backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd613…3f24backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x903c…e732backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cca…6c96backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa54f…ed41backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…32dfbacked Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…dcc6backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x345f…7238backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…6a97backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed1…d738backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223e…b354backed Nationals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd413…1416backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f93…f230backed Nationals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1000…7028backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pirates vs. Nationalsthis page
- NRFI: Pirates vs. NationalsYes won
- Pirates vs. Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.