MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0dd1c1e9822bb2e8e93ad94d67cdac36fb524a84e0daa1aefad62514d23d520b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Red Sox, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Red Sox | 59c | 29,400$17,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,053.92 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…0425backed Red Sox | 64c | 24,229$15,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,723.28 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Athletics | 41c | 24,000$9,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,840 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Athletics | 36c | 21,001$7,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,614.85 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9598…1fd2backed Athletics | 40c | 5,008$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.2 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 21c | 4,816$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.49 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Athletics | 40c | 4,663$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.4 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Red Sox | 61c | 3,942$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.5 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…4d99backed Red Sox | 60c | 3,509$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.6 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Athletics | 40c | 3,333$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.19 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics | 40c | 3,095$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.8 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Athletics | 39c | 2,912$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.14 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Sox | 59c | 2,799$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.64 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Red Sox | 67c | 2,242$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.22 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Athletics | 41c | 2,146$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.86 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Athletics | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Red Sox | 70c | 1,757$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.8 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Athletics | 40c | 1,275$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.36 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Red Sox | 60c | 1,250$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Athletics | 41c | 1,231$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.63 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Red Sox | 63c | 1,000$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Athletics | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Red Sox | 60c | 980.23$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.1 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Red Sox | 60c | 976$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.4 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Athletics | 24c | 886.65$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.43 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Red Sox | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Athletics | 39c | 799.97$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Red Sox | 61c | 765$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.35 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Athletics | 24c | 564$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.04 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Athletics | 41c | 549.15$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.15 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Red Sox | 64c | 544$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.48 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Athletics | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Red Sox | 60c | 500.07$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.03 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Athletics | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Sox | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Athletics | 38c | 494.6$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.95 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…5c56backed Red Sox | 60c | 490$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Athletics | 13c | 447.77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Sox | 66c | 413.46$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.2 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Red Sox | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Red Sox | 67c | 395.24$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.24 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Athletics | 36c | 389$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.04 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Red Sox | 60c | 373$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.34 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Red Sox | 60c | 340$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.82 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de2…de5fbacked Red Sox | 62c | 300.03$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.82 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Athletics | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Athletics | 38c | 263.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa555…2d6fbacked Red Sox | 61c | 260.8$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Red Sox | 61c | 255.28$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.47 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Athletics | 41c | 244.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Athletics | 41c | 243$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Red Sox | 62c | 224.28$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Athletics | 45c | 221.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Athletics | 34c | 220.04$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.82 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Red Sox | 61c | 219.61$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.65 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…5fc9backed Red Sox | 62c | 216.13$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.13 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Red Sox | 60c | 208.33$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Red Sox | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Red Sox | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Red Sox | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 38c | 199.97$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Red Sox | 60c | 198.42$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.37 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Red Sox | 61c | 191.97$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.87 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Athletics | 41c | 182.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Red Sox | 60c | 182$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Red Sox | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Red Sox | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Athletics | 39c | 131.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Red Sox | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Athletics | 39c | 128.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Athletics | 41c | 126$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Athletics | 41c | 125.57$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ea…f31cbacked Athletics | 41c | 122.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Red Sox | 62c | 117.74$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.74 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Athletics | 38c | 112.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Athletics | 37c | 108.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 17c | 106.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…bf65backed Red Sox | 63c | 105.81$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Red Sox | 61c | 102.09$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…c13dbacked Red Sox | 60c | 101.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Athletics | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f4…5781backed Red Sox | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…b33dbacked Athletics | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Athletics | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Athletics | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf801…b27fbacked Red Sox | 60c | 91.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…aef4backed Red Sox | 60c | 87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Red Sox | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Red Sox | 60c | 76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…34bcbacked Red Sox | 61c | 73.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Athletics | 38c | 68.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…6a09backed Red Sox | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1451…2915backed Red Sox | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Athletics | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Athletics | 36c | 59.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…7c1dbacked Red Sox | 60c | 56.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Athletics | 41c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Athletics | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf62…227dbacked Athletics | 39c | 51.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Sox vs. Athleticsthis page
- NRFI: Red Sox vs. AthleticsNo won
- Red Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Red Sox (-1.5)Red Sox won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.