TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Oilers vs. Wild

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oilersof Oilers, Wild
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,647
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,741

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,647 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1608…a990backed Wild34c6,713$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,309.559747.4%46 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Wild34c3,279$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.0925340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Wild34c3,178$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.4521652.3%113 W · 103 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Oilers66c3,056$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0401,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Oilers65c2,943$1,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.077758.4%45 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Oilers65c2,610$1,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.586649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe474…2c56backed Wild58c1,850$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Wild14c1,600$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2311,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Oilers66c1,507$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.6435545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf65e…a55abacked Oilers60c1,364$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.693754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Wild38c1,323$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.645843.1%25 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Oilers41c1,280$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.7392848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15c9…e725backed Wild26c1,273$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.295322.6%12 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Oilers58c1,146$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.3114949.7%74 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8cad…4a69backed Oilers74c1,010$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.3955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Oilers61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Wild26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26018237.9%69 W · 113 L+29.4wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+202.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Oilers67c999.97$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.991435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.26per pick61cpaid-45%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Wild34c821.89$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.4429847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Wild37c779.54$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.3491334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Wild54c750.64$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.331,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf61b…f73ebacked Oilers46c599.99$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.914551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Wild34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020345.3%92 W · 111 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers61c549.2$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.61,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Oilers65c499.99$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1761,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8420…8bb6backed Wild3c455.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.561346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb34…59eabacked Oilers67c450$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.52466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+34.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4407…8f2bbacked Oilers64c397.45$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.692948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Wild37c368.07$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.4138040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1fb…abaebacked Oilers68c316.63$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2400…f2b7backed Oilers68c309.2$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.21947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Oilers65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62dd…869abacked Wild36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Oilers67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Oilers66c281.07$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.2372444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaa1…4340backed Wild36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002650%13 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Oilers64c250$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.254742.6%20 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4eb8…9231backed Wild33c250$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.57448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Wild40c245.36$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.153,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Oilers65c232$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8241851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Oilers67c223.88$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.889861.2%60 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Wild39c184.34$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5831334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75e5…7df4backed Wild37c180$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.61241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Wild35c157.14$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5524945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bd4…8643backed Oilers66c151.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5518259.9%109 W · 73 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9544…f3fbbacked Oilers67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2515549.7%77 W · 78 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76a2…1f3cbacked Wild37c139.84$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.986137.7%23 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa815…c0cdbacked Wild15c127.73$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.782842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-21.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b9…d6efbacked Wild38c123.95$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7327…151abacked Oilers50c120.83$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.757532%24 W · 51 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick26cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb90d…cdaabacked Wild36c111.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4202…b93fbacked Oilers66c107.58$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.58580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+50.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cd3…2684backed Wild34c102.95$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Wild50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5054418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Oilers66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Wild33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3350049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Wild35c99.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3581846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Wild34c96.84$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.739251.1%47 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf7f…8995backed Oilers63c95.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.241090%9 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick59cpaid+50.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8b68…795bbacked Wild37c88.85$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.94839.6%19 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd146…40c1backed Oilers66c81.82$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.821947.4%9 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick66cpaid-28.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6a08…8630backed Wild34c76.48$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261625%4 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-63.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb734…502cbacked Oilers67c76.12$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.121963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d5d…2f6fbacked Wild37c75.68$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+30.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Oilers65c74.92$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.911,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2235…d67fbacked Oilers67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.637062.9%44 W · 26 L+8.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaa4c…08fcbacked Oilers66c74.55$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6448…423dbacked Wild35c74.29$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8175…e4b8backed Wild58c68.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401850%9 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3585…1595backed Oilers60c65$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.338440.5%34 W · 50 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb187…bd0cbacked Oilers68c61.77$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Oilers65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5470249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked Wild37c61.05$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5934032.4%110 W · 230 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79a1…5801backed Oilers61c60.56$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.622245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2e0d…1598backed Wild37c59.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.152642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd7e…b60fbacked Wild34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Oilers64c55.64$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8647249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Wild36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015236.2%55 W · 97 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x463d…49f3backed Wild37c54.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick44cpaid-73.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Wild30c53.13$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.162944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Wild37c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2530155.1%166 W · 135 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Oilers64c49.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.252050%10 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b6…27ddbacked Wild34c49.91$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.975334%18 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa182…b073backed Oilers64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.88785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick57cpaid+59%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd07c…1665backed Oilers65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.151070%7 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x874d…ec29backed Wild33c45.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-70.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x065f…ab50backed Wild34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa879…7515backed Wild34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-40.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa93…a20bbacked Wild34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-20.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3af2…adffbacked Wild34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82a4…9988backed Wild37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+28.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb212…42b9backed Wild37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f1…0987backed Wild34c40.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.64540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31b7…bde1backed Oilers63c39.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.683641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf983…1ae2backed Oilers64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.061040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945e…2acabacked Wild59c38.57$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.848950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b67…d01fbacked Wild37c36.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.681127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadd1…80d4backed Wild33c36.26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.97450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x968b…d100backed Wild37c35.06$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb49…dfa1backed Wild37c34.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134930.6%15 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.