Movies · resolved market
Will "Mike Epps: Delusional" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60d70b482e1e6e5f005fc88764bb7917c4803033cad95583535ddb461cf7fa24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b49…c6debacked Yes | 2c | 5,390$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.2 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…15e1backed Yes | 39c | 2,133$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.06 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +14.1wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 34c | 1,025$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.36 | 331 | 23.9%79 W · 252 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45ef…143bbacked Yes | 27c | 840.6$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 46c | 757$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.22 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd71…d127backed Yes | 28c | 672.59$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 625.53$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.63 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked No | 75c | 518.37$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.39 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +485.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 70c | 480.02$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.8 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…e31bbacked Yes | 72c | 410$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.28 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf946…d542backed Yes | 31c | 314.75$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.51 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x223d…8ef3backed No | 69c | 288.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.15 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…76a1backed Yes | 26c | 258.05$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.8 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Yes | 26c | 257$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.51 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 32c | 232.96$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.38 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 71c | 228.08$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.84 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…e9cbbacked Yes | 20c | 209.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…51eebacked Yes | 39c | 205.11$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.72 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 31c | 174$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 42c | 174$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.22 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 28c | 172$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 70c | 166.93$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 29c | 166.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 8c | 161.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…8646backed No | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…99ebbacked No | 58c | 138$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.31 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Yes | 20c | 131.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 65c | 116.67$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.03 | 206 | 68.9%142 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed Yes | 30c | 101.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 33c | 101$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf73…0436backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f03…d3eebacked Yes | 29c | 76.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 34c | 69.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 65c | 62.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed No | 71c | 59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 49c | 58.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 53c | 53.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 27c | 47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7b…19f1backed Yes | 30c | 39.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 44c | 38.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 73c | 36.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…a526backed Yes | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb9…c5cebacked Yes | 33c | 34.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f4…fc78backed Yes | 40c | 31.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b9…0371backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…d01ebacked No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…757fbacked No | 61c | 27.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…6601backed No | 75c | 27.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 60c | 26.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 71c | 24.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee08…cf6cbacked No | 75c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…175bbacked No | 74c | 16.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Mike Epps: Delusional" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)this page
- Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)No won
- Will "His & Hers" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.