Movies · resolved market
Will "His & Hers" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77edc2f1138463480c04822dcf763898765263d496c6930ff21683d79fa02fa4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x75d4…4027backed Yes | 59c | 6,060$3,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,503.64 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b49…c6debacked No | 1c | 2,100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd95…8c17backed Yes | 71c | 1,700$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -80%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…d424backed Yes | 74c | 1,058$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.41 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 41c | 905$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.74 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223d…8ef3backed Yes | 79c | 890.92$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.92 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed No | 55c | 693$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.15 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 41c | 684.92$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.35 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 28c | 528.2$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.76 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 29c | 508.39$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.66 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed No | 41c | 361$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.28 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb80f…db5ebacked Yes | 45c | 351$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.59 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed No | 41c | 264.01$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.38 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 43c | 255.51$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.49 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 53c | 204.23$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.36 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 29c | 203.08$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb798…7030backed Yes | 70c | 202.78$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.45 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…76a1backed Yes | 33c | 196.56$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 43c | 185.49$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 59c | 181.97$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.51 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 30c | 157.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…8646backed Yes | 68c | 140$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…7868backed Yes | 59c | 135.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 15c | 128.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 170 | 10%17 W · 153 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 39c | 112.37$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd71…d127backed No | 27c | 111.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b9…0371backed Yes | 35c | 110$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 58c | 102$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.01 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf73…0436backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 35c | 88.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 192 | 40.6%78 W · 114 L | -20.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 45c | 84.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -14.5wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -65%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…175bbacked Yes | 45c | 76.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…5124backed Yes | 72c | 76.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf244…beddbacked Yes | 54c | 74.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 39c | 73.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf946…d542backed No | 41c | 73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6509…740bbacked Yes | 68c | 58.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 31c | 56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 60c | 50.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 206 | 68.9%142 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…757fbacked No | 44c | 42.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e65…fe79backed Yes | 62c | 32.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea9…1a13backed No | 40c | 28.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…cd2dbacked Yes | 73c | 27.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb66…5e13backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed Yes | 43c | 24.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…d01ebacked No | 62c | 21.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…208bbacked Yes | 74c | 20.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde16…c098backed Yes | 76c | 19.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e07…5a26backed Yes | 72c | 15.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea3…0760backed Yes | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "His & Hers" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)this page
- Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)No won
- Will "Mike Epps: Delusional" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.