Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Virginia Tech Hokies: O/U 140.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc51968eda1cb7bda8a52c4053485192082df47566b9aeadbf88c3765be81808f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $641,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $648,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $641,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 53c | 481,436$255,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226,314.84 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Under | 47c | 400,000$188,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188,000 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Under | 47c | 191,713$89,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,688.02 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 53c | 99,975$52,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,994.33 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…8c03backed Over | 54c | 26,078$14,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,996.1 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 47c | 18,781$8,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,764.11 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Under | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350.01 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 54c | 4,901$2,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,254.46 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Under | 47c | 2,230$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.1 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 1,716$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.52 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 54c | 1,700$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 54c | 1,471$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.8 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 52c | 861.76$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.64 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 54c | 782$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.72 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…9c28backed Under | 48c | 620$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 50cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 607.58$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.56 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 53c | 558.26$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.38 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 47c | 467$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.49 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…65ecbacked Under | 49c | 418.91$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.16 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 42c | 391.51$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.36 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 48c | 368.55$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.9 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…3531backed Over | 52c | 368.54$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.9 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Under | 47c | 338.66$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.17 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 47c | 273$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.31 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 6c | 257.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Under | 44c | 216.08$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 200 | 46.5%93 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Under | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 48c | 101.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Under | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…935ebacked Over | 80c | 89.31$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad01…6f40backed Under | 48c | 78.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Under | 17c | 76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 26c | 59.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…6006backed Under | 50c | 44.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x756d…04a9backed Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0343…5475backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…266cbacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…80d2backed Under | 50c | 37.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…3cdebacked Under | 47c | 36.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…8646backed Under | 47c | 34.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcefc…e5e8backed Under | 48c | 28.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…e68bbacked Under | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab5…1bd7backed Over | 53c | 21.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…18c4backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.7wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Virginia Tech Hokies: O/U 140.5this page
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Virginia Tech HokiesVirginia Tech Hokies won
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Virginia Tech Hokies: O/U 139.5Over won
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Virginia Tech Hokies: O/U 141.5Over won
- Spread: Virginia Tech Hokies (-4.5)Virginia Tech Hokies won
- Spread: Virginia Tech Hokies (-5.5)Virginia Tech Hokies won
- Spread: Virginia Tech Hokies (-6.5)Virginia Tech Hokies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.