Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Virginia Tech Hokies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a47c7b6fca2d3f98c00a7f1f06d46a26e334139de3869b247c6c59300a1e047
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virginia Tech Hokiesof Notre Dame Fighting Irish, Virginia Tech Hokies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 9c | 1,332$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.33 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 29c | 973.26$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.4 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 69c | 445.11$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.48 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 72c | 334.71$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.21 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 71c | 290$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.43 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 79c | 283.2$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 12c | 201.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 29c | 199.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 9c | 197.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 9c | 152.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x565d…5a48backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 11c | 141.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 79c | 138.87$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 29c | 120$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 21c | 119.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…8c03backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 72c | 97.58$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 73c | 93.56$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 76c | 56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bc…45c3backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Virginia Tech Hokiesthis page
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Virginia Tech Hokies: O/U 139.5Over won
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Virginia Tech Hokies: O/U 140.5Over won
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Virginia Tech Hokies: O/U 141.5Over won
- Spread: Virginia Tech Hokies (-4.5)Virginia Tech Hokies won
- Spread: Virginia Tech Hokies (-5.5)Virginia Tech Hokies won
- Spread: Virginia Tech Hokies (-6.5)Virginia Tech Hokies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.