NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hawks (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fc04d1b97e8efeb587d9375cd91491254c9e822f08cbbf82dd069b24170ae74

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Pacersof Hawks, Pacers
Resolved: Feb 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $990,870
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $993,003

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $990,870 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Pacers	52c	520,559$270,659 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249,899.04	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Hawks	48c	350,000$168,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168,000	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Hawks	48c	150,000$72,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72,000	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6211…b89ebacked Pacers	51c	118,360$60,363 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57,996.66	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Hawks	48c	80,000$38,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38,399.76	207	58%120 W · 87 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Pacers	50c	55,199$27,704 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,495.17	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Hawks	49c	48,163$23,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,599.93	443	52.4%232 W · 211 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5227…f9bdbacked Pacers	52c	34,190$17,779 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,411.38	102	52.9%54 W · 48 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Hawks	50c	26,878$13,339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,339.14	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Hawks	49c	25,510$12,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,500	334	47.9%160 W · 174 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pacers	52c	24,520$12,748 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,772	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pacers	52c	21,020$10,901 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,119.46	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Hawks	50c	16,000$8,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,000	208	49.5%103 W · 105 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hawks	49c	10,919$5,399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,399.06	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Hawks	47c	10,638$4,988 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,987.73	131	42.7%56 W · 75 L	-8.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a43…565fbacked Hawks	49c	10,204$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Pacers	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,000	290	55.5%161 W · 129 L	+15.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2219…e243backed Hawks	49c	10,000$4,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,900	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Hawks	48c	9,999$4,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,799.52	245	54.7%134 W · 111 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Hawks	48c	9,999$4,799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,799.34	112	52.7%59 W · 53 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Hawks	49c	8,261$4,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,050	269	49.1%132 W · 137 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pacers	53c	7,976$4,228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,748.64	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pacers	52c	7,752$4,011 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,741.21	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Hawks	48c	7,500$3,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,600	153	49%75 W · 78 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers	50c	7,408$3,719 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,689.48	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Hawks	49c	5,857$2,870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,870	377	47.5%179 W · 198 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Hawks	47c	5,792$2,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,749.98	143	46.2%66 W · 77 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Pacers	50c	5,376$2,688 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,688	173	56.1%97 W · 76 L	+8.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Hawks	48c	5,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	158	44.9%71 W · 87 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2148…0599backed Hawks	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,450	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	54cpaid	-34%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b39…cc32backed Hawks	51c	4,802$2,449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,449.02	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Pacers	51c	4,700$2,397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,303	120	56.7%68 W · 52 L	+5.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Hawks	49c	4,592$2,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,250	219	43.4%95 W · 124 L	-12.7wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8a5…bca9backed Pacers	49c	4,588$2,248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,339.88	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7c0…1f0abacked Pacers	49c	4,488$2,199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,288.88	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f78…4cb1backed Hawks	51c	4,411$2,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,249.61	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd948…1535backed Pacers	49c	4,021$1,970 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,050.71	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Hawks	49c	4,019$1,969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,968.76	461	45.6%210 W · 251 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f71…e57fbacked Pacers	49c	4,001$1,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,040.51	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Hawks	48c	4,000$1,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,920	339	45.1%153 W · 186 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2072…de67backed Hawks	51c	3,701$1,888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,887.51	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ea0…3bb2backed Pacers	49c	3,606$1,767 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,839.09	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Hawks	49c	3,506$1,718 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,718.18	363	51.2%186 W · 177 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd997…53f2backed Hawks	51c	3,037$1,549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,549.02	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.1wins	-0.21per pick	51cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4cb…4d21backed Pacers	49c	3,037$1,488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,548.87	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+3.4wins	+0.15per pick	50cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d1a…d5f0backed Hawks	51c	3,001$1,531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,530.51	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Hawks	51c	2,970$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4df…5daebacked Hawks	51c	2,916$1,487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,487.16	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3766…a0e4backed Hawks	46c	2,902$1,335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,334.9	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+2.5wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ccc…219ebacked Hawks	51c	2,806$1,431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,431.06	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Pacers	52c	2,794$1,453 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,341.2	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hawks	46c	2,785$1,278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,278.38	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Hawks	50c	2,747$1,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,360	266	40.2%107 W · 159 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pacers	51c	2,706$1,384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,321.55	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ff…393fbacked Pacers	49c	2,515$1,232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,282.65	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x00b9…4ca6backed Hawks	49c	2,469$1,210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,209.72	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe477…bee6backed Hawks	51c	2,335$1,191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,190.85	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x52bc…c57cbacked Hawks	51c	2,314$1,180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,180.14	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Hawks	51c	2,222$1,133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,133.22	762	49.5%377 W · 385 L	-8.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Hawks	50c	2,187$1,098 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,098.01	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ef1…05afbacked Pacers	49c	2,121$1,039 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,081.71	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Pacers	52c	2,116$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,016.17	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Hawks	48c	2,060$989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$988.8	221	43%95 W · 126 L	-12.0wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x63d1…7176backed Pacers	49c	2,019$989 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,029.69	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe22…6f58backed Hawks	51c	2,012$1,026 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,026.12	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Pacers	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960	191	47.6%91 W · 100 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked Hawks	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$979.99	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-2.4wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Hawks	51c	1,961$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	285	54.7%156 W · 129 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Pacers	52c	1,927$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$926.92	211	52.6%111 W · 100 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eae…0a74backed Hawks	51c	1,908$973 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$973.08	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x28cf…1442backed Hawks	51c	1,848$942 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$942.48	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Hawks	50c	1,777$889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$888.65	226	46.9%106 W · 120 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cde…3e76backed Hawks	51c	1,714$874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$874.14	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	49cpaid	+37.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1d9…2a4dbacked Hawks	51c	1,713$874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$873.63	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pacers	51c	1,678$856 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$821.41	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Pacers	50c	1,600$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800	646	51.7%334 W · 312 L	-14.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba55…bd74backed Pacers	49c	1,568$768 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$799.68	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Pacers	49c	1,500$740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$760	1,911	45.4%868 W · 1,043 L	+22.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed Pacers	49c	1,500$735 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$764.97	117	53%62 W · 55 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Hawks	51c	1,494$761 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$761	186	50%93 W · 93 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Hawks	49c	1,470$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720.5	100	48%48 W · 52 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Pacers	49c	1,317$645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$671.71	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Pacers	52c	1,287$669 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$617.9	183	43.7%80 W · 103 L	-11.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Pacers	52c	1,250$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600	75	36%27 W · 48 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Hawks	49c	1,224$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	321	50.8%163 W · 158 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Hawks	50c	1,200$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	49	34.7%17 W · 32 L	-5.6wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Hawks	50c	1,186$592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$592.26	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed Hawks	48c	1,100$528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$528	54	50%27 W · 27 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fca…9d33backed Hawks	48c	1,026$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.34	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Hawks	49c	1,023$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.27	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Hawks	49c	1,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pacers	51c	990.97$508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$482.95	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Hawks	51c	980.39$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	509	54.8%279 W · 230 L	+14.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cff…6486backed Pacers	49c	933$457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$475.83	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Hawks	2c	931$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.17	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x31f6…442abacked Hawks	36c	828.03$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Hawks	50c	800$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	284	48.2%137 W · 147 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf673…68ecbacked Pacers	51c	778.85$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$378.85	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Hawks	51c	747$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378.29	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5fb…721ebacked Pacers	49c	640$314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$326.4	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.18per pick	48cpaid	+37.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Hawks (-1.5)this page
1H Spread: Hawks (-0.5)Pacers won
Aaron Nesmith: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 12.5No won
Hawks vs. PacersPacers won
Hawks vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylinePacers won
Hawks vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
Hawks vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5Over won
Hawks vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5Over won
Hawks vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5Over won
Hawks vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5Over won
Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
Johnny Furphy: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Zaccharie Risacher: Points O/U 9.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Hawks (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event