NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30db2d67ef83441973dd414d70e6018d73427f82506bcfb50cb9b35879250d92

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 31, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $150,433
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $150,448

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,433 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over	50c	33,933$17,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,912.93	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	48c	13,660$6,607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,606.74	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Over	53c	6,110$3,238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,871.83	173	48.6%84 W · 89 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under	48c	5,586$2,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,699.68	426	48.1%205 W · 221 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1a1…0934backed Over	48c	4,800$2,304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,496	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84df…5098backed Under	52c	4,650$2,418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,418	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa908…f70bbacked Under	52c	4,450$2,314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,314	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaff1…9e9bbacked Over	48c	4,250$2,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,210	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.53per pick	48cpaid	+110.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb884…dab6backed Over	48c	4,200$2,016 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,184	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.30per pick	50cpaid	+60.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	49c	4,170$2,026 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,025.99	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0e0…d6f1backed Over	48c	4,163$1,998 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,164.76	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	49cpaid	+37.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Over	55c	4,000$2,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,800	245	49%120 W · 125 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3b…19ebbacked Over	48c	4,000$1,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,080	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed1d…f40ebacked Over	48c	3,956$1,899 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,057.12	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d6e…0841backed Under	52c	3,885$2,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,020.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d19…6ff8backed Over	48c	3,855$1,851 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,003.6	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ae…271dbacked Under	52c	3,855$2,005 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,004.6	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b16…638ebacked Under	52c	3,850$2,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,002	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x505d…e7dbbacked Under	52c	3,800$1,976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,976	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.29per pick	51cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f43…db2dbacked Under	52c	3,788$1,970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,969.76	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8896…6ab7backed Under	52c	3,755$1,953 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,952.6	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under	49c	3,673$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	334	47.9%160 W · 174 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde30…a750backed Under	52c	3,655$1,901 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,900.6	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf08…3566backed Over	48c	3,650$1,752 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,898	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3a4…1d2cbacked Over	48c	3,600$1,728 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,872	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under	49c	3,567$1,748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,748	377	47.5%179 W · 198 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3f…9fa6backed Over	48c	3,520$1,690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,830.4	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+37.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3c0…9aabbacked Under	52c	3,500$1,820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,820	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9658…7bdabacked Under	52c	3,500$1,820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,820	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0271…9b8abacked Under	52c	3,500$1,820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,820	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	52c	3,428$1,783 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,644.97	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x09bf…c064backed Over	48c	3,400$1,632 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,768	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa095…d0edbacked Under	52c	3,350$1,742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,742	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a24…9698backed Under	52c	3,350$1,742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,742	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under	52c	3,269$1,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,699.99	657	50.1%329 W · 328 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabba…0fbebacked Over	48c	3,250$1,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,690	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.52per pick	49cpaid	+106.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ff0…fdfbbacked Over	48c	3,215$1,543 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,671.8	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under	47c	3,157$1,484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,483.96	151	47%71 W · 80 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5da2…e6dabacked Over	48c	3,060$1,469 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,591.2	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.18per pick	48cpaid	+37.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x958f…2217backed Under	52c	3,050$1,586 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,586	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x293e…db44backed Over	48c	3,030$1,454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,575.6	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x28cf…1442backed Over	48c	3,020$1,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,570.4	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under	52c	2,996$1,558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,557.8	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ed7…1616backed Under	52c	2,920$1,518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,518.4	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0d5…de44backed Under	52c	2,900$1,508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,508	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	49c	2,873$1,413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,412.58	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd639…6c8bbacked Over	48c	2,856$1,371 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,485.12	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.53per pick	48cpaid	+110.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Under	50c	2,839$1,411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,411	183	43.7%80 W · 103 L	-11.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e1e…5189backed Under	52c	2,711$1,410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,409.72	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7cd…90a9backed Over	48c	2,664$1,279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,385.28	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+40.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a96…8643backed Under	52c	2,550$1,326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,326	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7340…9233backed Over	48c	2,505$1,202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,302.6	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+51.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5fb…721ebacked Over	48c	2,500$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,300	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.18per pick	48cpaid	+37.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	47c	2,364$1,122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,122.22	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05cf…7dd7backed Under	52c	2,355$1,225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,224.6	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fce…7d70backed Over	48c	2,350$1,128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,222	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7eae…0a74backed Under	52c	2,345$1,219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,219.4	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcdb…e141backed Under	52c	2,344$1,219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,218.88	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+51.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26da…d929backed Over	48c	2,321$1,114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,206.92	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	48c	2,167$1,041 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,041.06	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xccca…a6e6backed Under	52c	1,964$1,021 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,021.28	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cde…3e76backed Over	48c	1,600$768 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$832	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	49cpaid	+37.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under	53c	1,373$722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$722	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a43…565fbacked Under	48c	1,270$610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$610	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb65…b78abacked Over	48c	1,255$602 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$652.6	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd053…04bdbacked Under	52c	993$516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$516.36	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under	47c	538.33$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.53	1,911	45.4%868 W · 1,043 L	+22.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Over	51c	528.35$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.53	357	47.1%168 W · 189 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under	49c	438.19$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.99	666	46.8%312 W · 354 L	-29.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	50c	401.14$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.33	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Over	54c	377$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.42	146	34.9%51 W · 95 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under	46c	377$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.42	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Over	50c	209.56$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.5	530	43.8%232 W · 298 L	-25.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	249	46.6%116 W · 133 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Over	52c	200$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	591	44.5%263 W · 328 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under	52c	200$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	377	50.4%190 W · 187 L	+12.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under	7c	199.74$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.98	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Under	48c	125.98$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.47	443	52.4%232 W · 211 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over	49c	122.43$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.44	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	48c	122$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.56	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Under	53c	113.21$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	242	50.8%123 W · 119 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Over	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	201	49.8%100 W · 101 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x457f…cf1dbacked Under	53c	94.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	106	59.4%63 W · 43 L	+5.1wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00d4…0a6abacked Over	51c	93.72$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.92	67	56.7%38 W · 29 L	+5.3wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under	50c	88$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.88	1,264	45.8%579 W · 685 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb007…7f04backed Over	50c	82$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41	92	47.8%44 W · 48 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x448a…3faabacked Under	52c	76.92$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over	50c	61.68$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.61	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	49c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.6	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8aab…8d40backed Over	50c	50.1$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.92	164	43.9%72 W · 92 L	-9.4wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over	51c	42$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.69	1,018	51.6%525 W · 493 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f40…600dbacked Over	49c	41.78$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.31	139	45.3%63 W · 76 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Under	49c	39.21$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.21	216	45.8%99 W · 117 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Over	51c	34$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.5	539	45.3%244 W · 295 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over	55c	33.93$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.27	927	50.6%469 W · 458 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Over	53c	32.87$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.36	576	57.8%333 W · 243 L	+13.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over	46c	30.04$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.22	807	44.1%356 W · 451 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Under	45c	28.94$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.02	508	41.7%212 W · 296 L	-11.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0919…fcbcbacked Under	51c	28.41$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.49	163	43.6%71 W · 92 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Hawks vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5this page
1H Spread: Hawks (-0.5)Pacers won
Aaron Nesmith: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 12.5No won
Hawks vs. PacersPacers won
Hawks vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylinePacers won
Hawks vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
Hawks vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5Over won
Hawks vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5Over won
Hawks vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5Over won
Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
Johnny Furphy: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Pacers won
Zaccharie Risacher: Points O/U 9.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Hawks vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event