TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-02-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,798
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,836

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,798 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked No74c10,000$7,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6001100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes26c9,573$2,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,53351749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes39c8,333$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,249.8221251.9%110 W · 102 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No73c5,797$4,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,565.094560%27 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes32c4,758$1,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,517.321,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No73c4,155$3,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.982673.1%19 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+31.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes27c3,050$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.543618.8%82 W · 354 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes27c2,293$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.318,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No55c1,372$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.431,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes40c1,151$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.0731349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbffe…e4efbacked No53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4704949%24 W · 25 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+32%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes32c769.28$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.173727%10 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes26c714.66$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.883,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d4…0a6abacked No73c543.78$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes26c507.89$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0581651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes19c491$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2936727%99 W · 268 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes26c455$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.4323354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No56c446.39$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.449449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e52…9078backed Yes43c412.77$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.9512239.3%48 W · 74 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes62c410$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.130048%144 W · 156 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3b…6ba5backed Yes5c399.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207619.7%15 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes54c372.09$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.4730841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No69c339$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4332936.5%120 W · 209 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes20c302.53$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8182434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Yes51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-45.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked No74c231.85$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.284100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5483642.9%359 W · 477 L-3.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5412443.5%54 W · 70 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed No74c200$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes34c192.12$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.326038.3%23 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No70c189.79$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.271,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Yes26c188.86$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.12231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-41.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes24c187.04$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.841,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Yes27c171.48$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.19759.8%58 W · 39 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No73c169.86$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.862055%11 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed No55c145.45$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.452466.7%16 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe82…7056backed No73c136.22$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.78475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fd…f553backed No73c131.6$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes27c127$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.81,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No68c122.63$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.641,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c8a…398ebacked Yes46c121.74$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561816.7%3 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.23per pick39cpaid-62.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Yes46c112$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.524257.1%24 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes26c109.94$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5821837.6%82 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x938e…3fb0backed No74c108.11$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.11250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93b1…be45backed Yes47c103.7$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes27c103.7$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2820142.3%85 W · 116 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5214352.4%75 W · 68 L+15.2wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+21.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e21…c6f4backed No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3e…ef94backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274136.6%15 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafb8…505cbacked Yes25c92.59$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.271233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-44.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Yes22c89.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2049341%202 W · 291 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No64c86.96$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6684943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb402…844dbacked Yes30c82.81$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes27c77.68$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.754367.4%29 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed No74c74.32$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.321154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1253…7e78backed Yes27c70.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.022944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed No74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.57771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes30c65.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011819.5%23 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed No73c61.39$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.33862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No57c56.6$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.581740.8%333 W · 484 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa15…95e3backed No74c54.8$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.25977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No44c54.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6227442%115 W · 159 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes27c44.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220953.1%111 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x052c…fa22backed Yes31c41.68$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdb…f0a5backed No73c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.653100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11de…4e67backed No73c39.7$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed No73c39.56$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.68580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed No74c39.19$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.198451.2%43 W · 41 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2905…18a9backed No74c39.08$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No77c36.37$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2737355.2%206 W · 167 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc4…c0adbacked No74c31.53$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4712…5bd6backed No73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.41283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77ed…6102backed No73c26.66$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No73c23.48$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3412750.4%64 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb37…ee94backed No73c20.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e85…443ebacked No72c19.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.65950.8%30 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0919…fcbcbacked No74c19.76$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.14742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-36.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08c8…016abacked No74c18.92$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2598…5e58backed No74c17.57$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f0…8646backed No74c17.57$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed No74c15.65$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.07666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1237…f312backed No77c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60be…aefcbacked No74c14.58$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.