South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-02-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffaed49ff72150ac91dafeb0d5591cfcd328e7c9439d9de44874944661e8f876
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 9c | 5,092$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.3 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 38c | 3,500$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 62c | 3,256$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.27 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 60c | 565.53$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.43 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked Yes | 10c | 440.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.74 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3326…2d1ebacked Yes | 16c | 192.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 35c | 180.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 64c | 179.02$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.19 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed No | 65c | 153.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.58 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 61cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Yes | 38c | 138$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 9c | 122.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…00cbbacked Yes | 40c | 115$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 65c | 104.56$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 23c | 98.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 36c | 60.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed No | 62c | 53.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdea…c050backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 61c | 49.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…ccdbbacked No | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…036abacked Yes | 38c | 39.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed No | 62c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2bec…80aebacked Yes | 35c | 31.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed No | 62c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204d…ca5bbacked Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed No | 62c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked No | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 22.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 59c | 22.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked No | 62c | 19.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed No | 63c | 16.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-02-02?this page
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-02-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.