Us Politics · resolved market
Tesla bot at Trump inauguration?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b8f44beae358c8744cde55fda4934721ce71672b56ca1e5605e1fe748db8753
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $346,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $356,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $346,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes | 5c | 54,585$2,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,805.68 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…3b01backed Yes | 8c | 31,203$2,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,535.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Yes | 6c | 21,872$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae4…6974backed Yes | 11c | 9,091$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3997…e141backed Yes | 9c | 6,944$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…304dbacked Yes | 8c | 5,844$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.4 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7b…f229backed Yes | 7c | 5,604$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…d8aebacked Yes | 5c | 4,590$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.78 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…902bbacked Yes | 11c | 3,779$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 5c | 3,379$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.86 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…edb1backed Yes | 1c | 3,337$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf414…917fbacked Yes | 10c | 2,852$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0a…f2afbacked Yes | 5c | 2,415$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 8c | 2,316$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.18 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2be…b150backed Yes | 5c | 2,127$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 8c | 2,120$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.72 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51a8…d3f8backed Yes | 4c | 2,119$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6598…42adbacked Yes | 9c | 1,926$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd63…2ae5backed Yes | 10c | 1,833$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec9…e566backed Yes | 10c | 1,705$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55db…7ce1backed Yes | 10c | 1,580$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.01 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked Yes | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…f8efbacked Yes | 4c | 1,371$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…c6afbacked Yes | 8c | 1,313$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.04 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd6…3245backed Yes | 4c | 1,203$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b85…4be3backed Yes | 4c | 1,133$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cd…1409backed Yes | 11c | 1,107$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2485…0006backed Yes | 9c | 1,060$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b2…393abacked Yes | 10c | 1,049$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…1b93backed Yes | 5c | 1,010$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d55…5ea3backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…a045backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…c1c3backed Yes | 4c | 996.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1b…2eeabacked Yes | 10c | 996.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c81…efc1backed Yes | 12c | 954.62$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b7…d868backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbc…ed7cbacked Yes | 6c | 885.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 5c | 871.66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfe…2330backed Yes | 6c | 870.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c05…850abacked Yes | 6c | 856.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b75…bad1backed Yes | 6c | 837.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…342ebacked Yes | 7c | 836.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a59…dbeabacked Yes | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 4c | 792.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 177 | 13%23 W · 154 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…2dcebacked Yes | 12c | 785.37$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…44c7backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa8…f84abacked Yes | 9c | 700$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.93 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c9…e53bbacked Yes | 8c | 645.05$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b6…83d8backed Yes | 8c | 634.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +168.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf4…7021backed Yes | 5c | 599.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfc…1ab3backed Yes | 4c | 597.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Yes | 10c | 590.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc93…bc03backed Yes | 9c | 573.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x800f…e161backed Yes | 9c | 563.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4b…4382backed Yes | 6c | 557.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a82…0d54backed Yes | 5c | 532.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8d…e66fbacked Yes | 8c | 500$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…4464backed Yes | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…06cdbacked Yes | 6c | 494.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa78…8af1backed Yes | 10c | 483.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -69%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 5c | 464.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 124 | 4.8%6 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ec…1af7backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef6…eb68backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…ab15backed Yes | 11c | 451.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ea…d0c1backed Yes | 5c | 450$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2748…6a07backed Yes | 10c | 449.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29bc…b4c3backed Yes | 11c | 445.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb414…da07backed Yes | 11c | 425.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaf…18bebacked Yes | 7c | 408.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…0d20backed Yes | 5c | 405.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d6…24aabacked Yes | 10c | 402.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…8577backed Yes | 7c | 372.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5da6…388fbacked Yes | 5c | 370$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…8bd3backed Yes | 6c | 366.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…8646backed Yes | 10c | 363.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b3…7d36backed Yes | 10c | 363.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 14c | 350$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x265d…e1c0backed Yes | 6c | 344.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39b…fff1backed Yes | 15c | 340.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…9370backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…99cabacked Yes | 7c | 324.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdd…f097backed Yes | 6c | 318.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a4…df18backed Yes | 4c | 310.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3480…0735backed Yes | 4c | 303.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac61…551dbacked Yes | 10c | 300.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48c1…d2cdbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c6…24dbbacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb353…09e8backed Yes | 6c | 297.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…4279backed Yes | 6c | 296.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…cbc3backed Yes | 12c | 289.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…02edbacked Yes | 9c | 288.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…0d70backed Yes | 9c | 280.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b98…b8e1backed Yes | 11c | 278.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d34…5aaebacked Yes | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8a…67d7backed Yes | 11c | 271.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1837…8da6backed Yes | 9c | 266.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd57…1cf2backed Yes | 6c | 263.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x693a…0ed9backed Yes | 11c | 259.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329b…fed8backed Yes | 7c | 258.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9330…21a2backed Yes | 12c | 257.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.