Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana dip to $110 January 26-1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3417fc0a49b411dbf52c1925da984e8ab7d752864ebfe66cc05b94c773168ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,098
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6230…3228backed No | 0c | 12,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf74b…95cbbacked Yes | 11c | 5,315$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,705.36 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf632…02aabacked Yes | 19c | 4,277$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,469.16 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf274…37f4backed Yes | 6c | 3,585$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,382.07 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde27…b9a5backed No | 6c | 3,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…6361backed No | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969b…db70backed No | 1c | 1,429$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes | 23c | 1,099$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.07 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 10cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 7c | 999.28$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.33 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ac…43f7backed Yes | 20c | 995.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +907.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e55…760dbacked Yes | 18c | 677.09$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.8 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +4.8wins | +0.20per pick | 9cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f47…38c7backed No | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 11cpaid | +464.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 12c | 496.63$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.66 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5e…2efebacked Yes | 10c | 399.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd143…83ecbacked Yes | 10c | 389.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.18 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 300$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.4 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 14c | 271.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.2 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ed…cb67backed Yes | 20c | 217.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 11cpaid | +296.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.1 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…c689backed Yes | 25c | 198.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 36cpaid | +165.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f21…cea6backed No | 80c | 166.11$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7985…f134backed Yes | 21c | 166.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 26c | 156.23$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.14 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 68c | 137.88$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.28 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -8.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…8ca1backed Yes | 33c | 119.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…6c61backed Yes | 21c | 116.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.82 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 14c | 106.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.37 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4a…b12dbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 35c | 99.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.66 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e93…e71abacked Yes | 40c | 53.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f1…a21fbacked Yes | 34c | 47.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +190.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana dip to $110 January 26-1?this page
- Will Solana dip to $50 January 26-1?No won
- Will Solana dip to $60 January 26-1?No won
- Will Solana dip to $70 January 26-1?No won
- Will Solana dip to $90 January 26-1?No won
- Will Solana reach $130 January 26-1?No won
- Will Solana reach $140 January 26-1?No won
- Will Solana reach $150 January 26-1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.