Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $100 February 23-March 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81ac129f724141a94c7e18b773b68bc7867b4eae8dcf8a833fc54349dde36b0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6dc2…2f88backed Yes | 0c | 19,500$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.57 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 5,764$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3c…7caabacked Yes | 1c | 5,046$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…3ce1backed Yes | 4c | 4,687$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 137 | 9.5%13 W · 124 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd609…40f4backed Yes | 4c | 2,778$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…ee54backed Yes | 18c | 1,760$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ec…72d1backed Yes | 13c | 1,323$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 3c | 716.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 2c | 617$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 62 | 11.3%7 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…ce72backed Yes | 4c | 576.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe929…299fbacked Yes | 8c | 360.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 310.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d24…e006backed Yes | 8c | 270$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…8f11backed Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $100 February 23-March 1?this page
- Will Solana dip to $40 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Solana dip to $50 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Solana dip to $70 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Solana reach $110 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Solana reach $90 February 23-March 1?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.