Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $90 February 23-March 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09d8346ec94216e894a93eaa3987485f43a1efe77168d748e40d8d6bdcccd5e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 0c | 6,274$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed No | 2c | 999.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd609…40f4backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.33 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…6c61backed Yes | 30c | 700.68$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.5 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 29c | 686.21$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.21 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f4…c58fbacked Yes | 29c | 686.21$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.21 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…394fbacked Yes | 16c | 660$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.4 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 9c | 499.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 62 | 11.3%7 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3538…eac8backed Yes | 68c | 443.39$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.44 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a7…3becbacked Yes | 79c | 344.22$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.29 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 7c | 316.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…4acbbacked No | 6c | 199.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 142 | 2.1%3 W · 139 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe652…d114backed No | 48c | 115.92$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…1f74backed No | 44c | 68.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c14…ffa5backed No | 73c | 53.68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d24…e006backed Yes | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked Yes | 80c | 31.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 84 | 70.2%59 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8133…6a9abacked No | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $90 February 23-March 1?this page
- Will Solana dip to $40 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Solana dip to $50 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Solana dip to $70 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Solana reach $100 February 23-March 1?No won
- Will Solana reach $110 February 23-March 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.