Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $110 February 2-8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x475fc66ff722096a71e2821e42340fe091447347e66b946e54319c3cfcdf94e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34d6…df14backed Yes | 7c | 1,890$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…bb47backed Yes | 7c | 876.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.86 | 66 | 15.2%10 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 10c | 811.97$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.01 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f10…fd78backed Yes | 3c | 602.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 14c | 500$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.33 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…de36backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe929…299fbacked Yes | 12c | 499.31$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7532…c6fcbacked Yes | 25c | 341.05$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.85 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…394fbacked Yes | 18c | 333.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…296ebacked Yes | 9c | 260$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…8526backed Yes | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 128 | 5.5%7 W · 121 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…97cebacked Yes | 31c | 195.87$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd258…f3d2backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…82cebacked No | 44c | 89.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…2d8fbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 54c | 43.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 32c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $110 February 2-8?this page
- Will Solana dip to $40 February 2-8?No won
- Will Solana dip to $50 February 2-8?No won
- Will Solana dip to $60 February 2-8?No won
- Will Solana dip to $70 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $80 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $90 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $120 February 2-8?No won
- Will Solana reach $130 February 2-8?No won
- Will Solana reach $140 February 2-8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.