Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana dip to $80 February 2-8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50ad63683030557981e236b10608ad9e7e31a919b4e9b0875de32f459b47bc09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a10…b68bbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3538…eac8backed No | 73c | 5,911$4,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,290.55 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224c…ee07backed Yes | 4c | 4,705$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,504.99 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…be77backed Yes | 27c | 4,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 27cpaid | +277.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf211…497fbacked No | 74c | 4,000$2,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,952 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 3,753$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc747…324bbacked Yes | 5c | 3,360$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,178.17 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +12.3wins | +0.19per pick | 4cpaid | +272.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x06c8…d39cbacked Yes | 24c | 3,278$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,506.93 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…bb47backed Yes | 9c | 3,035$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750.51 | 66 | 15.2%10 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…559fbacked No | 73c | 2,600$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3f…00dbbacked No | 74c | 2,400$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3e…3331backed No | 74c | 1,610$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,422$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.88 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x640d…2201backed No | 72c | 1,400$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed No | 8c | 1,107$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.58 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked Yes | 8c | 834.88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.85 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.21per pick | 25cpaid | +346.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7df2…01afbacked Yes | 4c | 834.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.82 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 4cpaid | +599.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0990…f36fbacked Yes | 27c | 785.77$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.19 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…38c5backed Yes | 6c | 600$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.2 | 143 | 7.7%11 W · 132 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec68…a36fbacked Yes | 22c | 500$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedea…a94dbacked Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +155.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 26c | 399.49$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.15 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 6c | 312$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.86 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -7.4wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 3c | 296.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.22 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 11c | 231.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.88 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eaa…8561backed Yes | 4c | 230.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.96per pick | 4cpaid | +2,171.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 9c | 229.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 136 | 24.3%33 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 70c | 117.57$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.28 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -21.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 42c | 40.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 80c | 31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana dip to $80 February 2-8?this page
- Will Solana dip to $40 February 2-8?No won
- Will Solana dip to $50 February 2-8?No won
- Will Solana dip to $60 February 2-8?No won
- Will Solana dip to $70 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $90 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $110 February 2-8?No won
- Will Solana reach $120 February 2-8?No won
- Will Solana reach $130 February 2-8?No won
- Will Solana reach $140 February 2-8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.