Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana dip to $90 February 2-8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebb1d4cd70a4641b3445e2b697a46e6bfca6a5c1ecd45d88d825cdeff9411bcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed No | 2c | 7,500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…394fbacked No | 35c | 1,086$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…bb47backed Yes | 21c | 951.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.11 | 66 | 15.2%10 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72c4…ee6cbacked Yes | 17c | 617$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.11 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 11c | 499.19$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.93 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c8…d39cbacked Yes | 47c | 488.33$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.33 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…6c61backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 18c | 377.35$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.47 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed No | 58c | 343.92$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.78 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34d6…df14backed Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e55…760dbacked Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +4.8wins | +0.20per pick | 9cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7532…c6fcbacked Yes | 24c | 240$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.4 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked No | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 28c | 139.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.29 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 12c | 128.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x207e…d33fbacked Yes | 22c | 95.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +140.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 12c | 89.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -21.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e1…f503backed Yes | 39c | 51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +148.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9b…638fbacked Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a4…a548backed No | 58c | 22.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana dip to $90 February 2-8?this page
- Will Solana dip to $40 February 2-8?No won
- Will Solana dip to $50 February 2-8?No won
- Will Solana dip to $60 February 2-8?No won
- Will Solana dip to $70 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $80 February 2-8?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $110 February 2-8?No won
- Will Solana reach $120 February 2-8?No won
- Will Solana reach $130 February 2-8?No won
- Will Solana reach $140 February 2-8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.