Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $100 March 2-8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb10e6b77b21b155d187e3c887397f6cba342055496f24f0dea0db1d4bc147e5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,914 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31af…0f94backed Yes | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df2…01afbacked Yes | 10c | 2,002$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.17 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 4cpaid | +599.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0141…c2dabacked Yes | 24c | 1,900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 22c | 1,788$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.95 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…13cbbacked No | 77c | 1,495$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.96 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 11c | 1,003$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.2 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 9c | 887$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.26 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…4acbbacked Yes | 7c | 833$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.59 | 142 | 2.1%3 W · 139 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 29c | 585.34$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.27 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe929…299fbacked Yes | 4c | 493.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…3469backed Yes | 9c | 413$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 86 | 1.2%1 W · 85 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 12c | 360.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 62 | 11.3%7 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf485…d5cebacked Yes | 14c | 328.31$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 7c | 312.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…b647backed Yes | 8c | 311.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 19c | 273.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 5c | 255$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f4…c58fbacked Yes | 28c | 251.07$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.1 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9785…2c5abacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7597…006bbacked Yes | 14c | 182.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e2…38eebacked Yes | 8c | 178.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 78c | 154.69$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 26c | 137.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…60adbacked No | 75c | 133.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf2…b4e8backed Yes | 31c | 110.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…8db3backed Yes | 11c | 109.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 70c | 94.34$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…9ed0backed No | 76c | 84.16$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcca…82d3backed Yes | 19c | 63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae05…f5d1backed Yes | 30c | 40.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1505…a5e8backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8133…6a9abacked No | 73c | 28.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf8…0d75backed No | 80c | 27.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1c…5ee4backed No | 80c | 19.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $100 March 2-8?this page
- Will Solana dip to $50 March 2-8?No won
- Will Solana dip to $70 March 2-8?No won
- Will Solana reach $110 March 2-8?No won
- Will Solana reach $120 March 2-8?No won
- Will Solana reach $90 March 2-8?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.