TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5ecd…7e72

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Commodities, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 54 out of 100; worst Middle East at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlandsbacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$66
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Africabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$28
T20I Series New Zealand vs South Africa, Women: New Zealand vs South Africabacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealandbacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$120
T20 World Cup: India vs West Indiesbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19
T20 World Cup: England vs New Zealandbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+100%+$50
T20 World Cup: West Indies vs South Africabacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$22
T20 World Cup: India vs South Africabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$150
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Englandbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+122.2%+$55
T20 World Cup: Netherlands vs USA (Game 1)backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+28.2%+$100.4
T20 World Cup: Italy vs Scotland (Game 1)backed Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Ireland (Game 1)backed Ireland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$32
WPL: Royal Challengers Bengaluru Women vs Delhi Capitals Womenbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru Women · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+137.5%+$77.35
WPL: Gujarat Giants Women vs Delhi Capitals Womenbacked Gujarat Giants Women · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.86
International T20 Series: Pakistan vs Australia (Game 3)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+143.9%+$28.06
WPL: Gujarat Giants Women vs Mumbai Indians Womenbacked Mumbai Indians Women · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$41
WPL: UP Warriorz Women vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru Womenbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru Women · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+33.6%+$178.85
WPL: Gujarat Giants Women vs Delhi Capitals Womenbacked Delhi Capitals Women · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$28.8
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-66.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-58.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+93.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Troy Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+150%+$360
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Merida Open Akron: Jasmine Paolini vs Katie Boulterbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$99.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.