Premier League · resolved market
Will West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0dd095cb7b1ca36747da0f44ae24072c0f49d9841b76a19b669814d4562b4ec7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 6c | 25,119$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.89 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Yes | 0c | 22,393$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd638…b011backed Yes | 69c | 1,015$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 981.21$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.55 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 8c | 907$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.56 | 141 | 28.4%40 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Yes | 6c | 883.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 28c | 705.55$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.55 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 17c | 567$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.45 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 29c | 403.45$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9380…a275backed Yes | 65c | 379.98$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.99 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -8.9wins | -0.37per pick | 49cpaid | -62%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 69c | 314.96$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.32 | 196 | 54.6%107 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 71c | 308.79$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.64 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe988…cd5dbacked Yes | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 29c | 277.75$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.55 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Yes | 6c | 269.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Yes | 23c | 237.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.68 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed No | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 155$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked No | 56c | 146$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.76 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…39c3backed Yes | 73c | 101.51$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee54…5665backed No | 80c | 100.3$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Yes | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Yes | 11c | 99.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes | 29c | 98.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 92.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked No | 72c | 91.04$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 25c | 80.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 77c | 74.86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…b87ebacked No | 31c | 74.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -7.3wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -41%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 27c | 44.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Yes | 69c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf103…fe41backed Yes | 79c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ed2bbacked No | 79c | 38.83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…a938backed Yes | 74c | 37.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 35.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 37c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…641fbacked Yes | 77c | 31.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x100e…dc15backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…80d2backed No | 43c | 24.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…e355backed No | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…c780backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-01-16?Yes won
- Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-01-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.