TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-01-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,763
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,976

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,763 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9a58…149dbacked No1c16,369$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.344323.3%10 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-62.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No61c10,501$6,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,443.296,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No66c7,123$4,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,701.292,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes34c5,943$2,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,930.921,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes49c4,720$2,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,427.014,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf7e…339abacked Yes34c3,000$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,981.883151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No19c2,657$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.771,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Yes34c2,206$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,455.881330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No61c2,066$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.452,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes32c2,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,36034628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Yes11c2,000$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,779.993834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Yes35c1,137$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.2714252.1%74 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No54c1,062$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.442,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No64c1,002$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.531,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1045…06c8backed Yes35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6509348.4%45 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Yes32c861.9$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.587237.5%27 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No3c856.51$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.941344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes31c769.98$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.2910426.9%28 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes33c623.14$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.583650%18 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No68c600.1$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.961,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No4c596.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5461441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes34c588.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.243250%16 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No32c553.68$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.5242324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xae49…6323backed Yes75c531.63$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.91475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb813…f0efbacked Yes30c497.4$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+64.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No67c491.54$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.591,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes63c474.89$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.8937840.5%153 W · 225 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes34c470.59$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.593636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3138…b523backed Yes33c454.55$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.556538.5%25 W · 40 L-7.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No65c443.99$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.5921548.8%105 W · 110 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e69…200ebacked Yes31c406.67$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.995837.9%22 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9380…a275backed Yes62c380$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.42412.5%3 W · 21 L-8.9wins-0.37per pick49cpaid-62%equal weight30-0.18 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes34c366.57$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.2620840.9%85 W · 123 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Yes53c350$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1635844.8%26 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3915…b03ebacked No37c348$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.76450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked No67c315.52$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.412055%66 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.59134.1%31 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Yes31c305.01$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.258944.9%40 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.0311534.8%40 W · 75 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f7c…e75cbacked Yes33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.032955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed No21c301$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3312245.1%55 W · 67 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes33c298.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.5715257.2%87 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Yes34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.128746%40 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Yes34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.1212441.1%51 W · 73 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90e5…e5cebacked Yes35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.712040%8 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No42c284.07$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2429041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes33c265.7$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.316453.7%88 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No66c261.99$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.1684549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x284e…ddb2backed Yes11c255.33$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.731540%6 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+40.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2367…c5b3backed Yes33c249.12$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.911330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-29.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x981c…7f14backed Yes34c220.59$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.592445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes35c220$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14349544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes43c215$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.3525052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe634…9ccfbacked Yes75c213.33$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes34c211.74$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.7520027%54 W · 146 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Yes31c203.34$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.513360.9%81 W · 52 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed Yes31c203.34$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.53542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No66c197$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.0225752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed No38c194.49$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.96741.8%28 W · 39 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes32c191.13$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.0742048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38d0…899bbacked Yes63c190.48$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.48825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-63.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No54c184.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8657744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes47c156.11$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.541,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x414a…597ebacked No15c153.86$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.83560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes34c152$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3218052.2%94 W · 86 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed No68c151.53$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0417053.5%91 W · 79 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5222832.9%75 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.068438.1%32 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid+15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83bf…c05cbacked Yes35c128.57$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.57425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b73…45d9backed Yes31c127.45$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.316245.2%28 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes33c124.29$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3935134.8%122 W · 229 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes34c117.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6535328.6%101 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb42a…0156backed Yes33c109.91$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.261338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No10c103.96$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0167042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes49c102$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0273258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce70…0be2backed Yes31c101.67$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.753240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6719654.6%107 W · 89 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6732822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6532737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed No27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2714636.3%53 W · 93 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.539651.5%204 W · 192 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes14c100$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8625339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked No12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12300%0 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaff…fe2dbacked Yes33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9d9…917fbacked Yes35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+109%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked No12c99.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124413.6%6 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick8cpaid+62.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf873…f644backed No56c98.95$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7de7…8045backed Yes33c98.48$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4a0…993dbacked Yes32c94.76$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.764339.5%17 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes45c89.59$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5928531.2%89 W · 196 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes34c88.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.246437.5%24 W · 40 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed No67c80$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.64266.7%28 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd8f…9a78backed Yes63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.373847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cc1…8b83backed Yes32c76.53$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c7c…ca88backed Yes31c75.49$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.89250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+59.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…f3a4backed Yes34c73.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.532245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed Yes59c71.08$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.017751.9%40 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb53c…eb0cbacked No67c68.2$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.691957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Yes30c64.01$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.684843.8%21 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed No23c63.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5620931.6%66 W · 143 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.