TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2e75…e229

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
101
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NHL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 57 out of 100; worst MLB at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST5560%33 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$9
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16.46
Trail Blazers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37%+$6.52
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.84
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$7.14
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37%+$7
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+51.5%+$7.73
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+56.3%+$6.19
Kings vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Trail Blazers vs. Bullsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.05
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+75.4%+$9.05
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$23.55
Heat vs. Pelicansbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+104.1%+$13.11
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+122.2%+$19.07
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+163.2%+$20.56
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11.65
Pacers vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20.75
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.04
76ers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2070%14 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+31.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$10.89
Blackhawks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.81
Jets vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$12.57
Wild vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11.91
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.84
Golden Knights vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Blackhawks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+58.7%+$6.55
Senators vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+96.1%+$16.33
Oilers vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+117.4%+$17.74
Maple Leafs vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Penguins vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$11.82
Sharks vs. Blackhawksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Golden Knights vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+100%+$19.9
Penguins vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.81
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$28.38
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$8.3
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$17.21
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$11.45
All 20 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+177.8%+$22.4
Will Trump impose tariffs on the EU in the first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-02-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$14.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FIFA Club World Cup: Real Madrid vs. Juventus (To Advance) backed Juventus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cardinals vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.